Sport Picks
Match Events
5'
5'
Chery T.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Chery T.
(Penalty)
38'
38'
Floranus S.
AI Match Summary
Nijmegen in this Eredivisie matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nijmegen.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Zwolle
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
23%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Nijmegen lately — more wins on the board than Zwolle.
- Nijmegen are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Eredivisie form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Nijmegen have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40%
Zwolle Clean Sheet 10%
Nijmegen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Zwolle | Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 31 |
| Wins | 7 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.2 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.13 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Nijmegen
1:3
Jan 24, 2026 Eredivisie
Nijmegen vs Zwolle
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Nijmegen
2:2
Jan 11, 2025 Eredivisie
Zwolle vs Nijmegen
0:1
Oct 29, 2024 KNVB Beker
Nijmegen vs Zwolle
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Zwolle Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Nijmegen Compare
Top Goalscorer Schuurs P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Zwolle 18 / 100
Nijmegen 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Zwolle Nijmegen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nijmegen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Nijmegen conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Zwolle scored in 73% of their last 30 games.
Difficult form: Nijmegen registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Zwolle VS Nijmegen
0.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Zwolle
(Home) 18 Sept
Groningen
3 : 0 Zwolle
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7 Feyenoord
04 Sept
Sparta Rotterdam
2 : 2 Zwolle
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3 Nijmegen
22 Aug
Heerenveen
0 : 2 Zwolle
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
Zwolle
0 : 7 Feyenoord
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3 Nijmegen
09 Aug
Zwolle
0 : 2 Ajax
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3 AEK
18 Jul
Zwolle
3 : 2 Cercle Brugge
Page 1 of 4
Nijmegen
(Away) 20 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 1 G.A. Eagles
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0 Nijmegen
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0 Nijmegen
08 Sept
Nijmegen
2 : 2 Excelsior
05 Sept
Nijmegen
1 : 3 Feyenoord
Page 1 of 7
17 Sept
Juventus
5 : 0 Nijmegen
12 Sept
Cambuur
3 : 0 Nijmegen
29 Aug
Zwolle
1 : 3 Nijmegen
25 Aug
Bodo/Glimt
3 : 0 Nijmegen
15 Aug
Willem II
1 : 4 Nijmegen
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25:7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:10 | 16 |
| 4 | Twente | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 16 |
| 5 | Ajax | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21:9 | 14 |
| 6 | Sittard | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Excelsior | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:9 | 11 |
| 8 | Groningen | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 11 |
| 9 | G.A. Eagles | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 16:14 | 10 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 9 |
| 11 | Nijmegen | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:17 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:12 | 5 |
| 14 | Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | 5 |
| 15 | Utrecht | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11:24 | 5 |
| 16 | Zwolle | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:20 | 4 |
| 17 | Den Haag | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7:17 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6:20 | 2 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Eredivisie (Conference League - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eredivisie (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Eerste Divisie 2027/2028 (Main)
