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Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente FBC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa Paraguay La Arboleda, Asunción
tir. 27. okt. 2026
VS
10:30 p.m.
Vårt Tips

Kampsammendrag

A one-off knockout match in the Copa Paraguay. This one's hard to separate. Libertad Asuncion have averaged 1.46 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Independiente FBC's 1.64 scored and 1.36 conceded. Head-to-head, Libertad Asuncion have won 3 to Independiente FBC's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on 22. okt. 2018, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.56) back Libertad Asuncion to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Seierssannsynlighet

Beregnet fra 10 000 simulerte kamper basert på hjemmebanefordel og form

27%
Libertad Asuncion
33%
Uavgjort
40%
Independiente FBC
Uavgjort-prognose: 33% Favoritt: Independiente FBC

Modellens Sikkerhet

Aggregert sikkerhetsskår

70% / Middels Sikkerhet
  • Libertad Asuncion have won more games recently than Independiente FBC.
  • Model gives Independiente FBC a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Libertad Asuncion have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Høy effektivitet tyder på en målrik kamp (Sannsynlighet for Over 2.5: 78%).

Målsannsynlighet

Forventninger for målmarkeder basert på xG-historie

Over 0.5 Mål 92%
Over 1.5 Mål 82%
Over 2.5 Mål 78%
Over 3.5 Mål 31.5%
Over 4.5 Mål 14%
Begge lag scorer (BTTS) 73.4%
Libertad Asuncion Rent bur 15%
Independiente FBC Rent bur 12%

Siste Formanalyse

Snitt per kamp

Metrikk Libertad Asuncion Independiente FBC
Kamper Spilt 28 28
Seire 13 12
Uavgjort 4 8
Tap 11 8
Mål Scoret 1.46 1.64
Mål Sluppet Inn 1.32 1.36
Forventede Mål (xG) 1.19 1.56
Forventede Mål Sluppet Inn (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historiske suksessrater i nøkkelmarkeder

22. okt. 2018 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente FBC
2:1
3. aug. 2018 Copa de Primera
Independiente FBC vs Libertad Asuncion
1:0
3. juni 2018 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Independiente FBC
1:0
29. mars 2018 Copa de Primera
Independiente FBC vs Libertad Asuncion
3:1
13. nov. 2017 Copa de Primera
Independiente FBC vs Libertad Asuncion
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum-Indeks

Akkumulert formindeks justert for motstander og slitasje (0-100)

Libertad Asuncion 27 / 100
Independiente FBC 38 / 100
Slik kalkuleres det: Vektet formel av formkurve (60%), måldifferanser (20%), hjemmebanefordel (10%) og fravær (10%).

Angreps- og Forsvarsstyrke

ANGREP FORSVAR POSSESJON DISIPLIN
Libertad Asuncion Independiente FBC

Modell-Prognose

Resultatfrekvenser og hovedmarkeder

Hovedtips Independiente FBC Win (2)
Sekundærtips Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Prognose Yes (GG)
Over/Under Tips Over 2.5

Smart Innsikt

Mønstre oppdaget automatisk av systemet

Libertad Asuncion scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Independiente FBC conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Libertad Asuncion stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Måltrender

Libertad Asuncion VS Independiente FBC
1.63 Mål scoret 2
1.13 Mål sluppet inn 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Libertad Asuncion

(Home)
18 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
1 : 0
Libertad Asuncion
11 Oct
Libertad Asuncion
2 : 2
Guarani
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
0 : 1
Olimpia Asuncion
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Independiente FBC

(Away)
20 Oct
Tacuary
3 : 2
Independiente FBC
10 Oct
Independiente FBC
3 : 0
Atletico Tembetary
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3
Independiente FBC
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2
Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Resistencia 0
Cerro Porteno 1
General Caballero JLM 2
Rubio Nu 3
29 de Septiembre FBC 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 3
Fulgencio Yegros 2
1 de Marzo Pilar 2
Atletico Tembetary 3
Sportivo Iteno 2
Guarani 1
Deportivo Humaita FBC 1
2 de Mayo 4
Sol de America 2
Sportivo Trinidense 1
Cristobal Colon FC 3
Olimpia Asuncion 5
Paraguari AC 0
Sp. Luqueno 2
Deportivo Santani 0
Recoleta 2
Guairena FC 3
12 de Octubre 2
Obrero 0
Fernando de la Mora 3
Tacuary 0
Libertad Asuncion 1
Independiente FBC 1
Sportivo Ameliano 0
Benjamin Aceval 0
Nacional Asuncion 2
1/8-finals
Cerro Porteno 2
Rubio Nu 1
San Lorenzo 2
4 de Mayo 1
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sportivo Iteno 0
2 de Mayo 0
Sol de America 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Sp. Luqueno 2
Recoleta 3
Guairena FC 1
Fernando de la Mora 1
Libertad Asuncion 2
Independiente FBC 3
Nacional Asuncion 2
Quarter-finals
Cerro Porteno 3
San Lorenzo 2
Atletico Tembetary 2
Sol de America 3
Sp. Luqueno -
Recoleta -
Libertad Asuncion -
Independiente FBC -
Semi-finals
Cerro Porteno -
Sol de America -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -