Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
A one-off knockout match in the National League Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. West Brom U21 have shipped 2.16 goals a game lately, while Boston United have conceded 1.32 and scored 1.45. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.48 - 1.04) back Boston United to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Boston United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Boston United have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Boston United | West Brom U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 31 | 31 |
| Vitórias | 14 | 12 |
| Empates | 6 | 3 |
| Derrotas | 11 | 16 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.45 | 1.84 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.32 | 2.16 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.48 | 1.04 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Defensive concern: West Brom U21 conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.
Boston United found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).
West Brom U21 lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Solid form: Boston United remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Tendências de Gols
Recent Form & Match History
Boston United
(Home)West Brom U21
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Halifax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Scunthorpe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolves U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 6 | Wealdstone | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Derby U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 8 | Stoke City U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norwich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | West Ham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 4 | Ipswich U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Aldershot | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 6 | Braintree | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 7 | Hornchurch | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 8 | Worthing FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough U21 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Boreham Wood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 |
| 3 | Tamworth | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Everton U21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 6 | Solihull Moors | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 7 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 8 | Hartlepool | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:10 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Birmingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Truro | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Sutton | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 4 | West Brom U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 2 |
| 5 | Woking | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 6 | Leicester U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 7 | Boston United | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Southampton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |