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Brentford U21 vs Derby U21

Inglaterra Inglaterra

Premier League Cup
sáb., 10 de out. de 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 1-4. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Brentford U21 at 2.31 goals for, 1.28 against; Derby U21 at 1.72 for, 2.28 against. Head-to-head, Brentford U21 have won 2 to Derby U21's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 27 de abr. de 2026, ending 2:0. The numbers (2.75 xG vs 1.56) point toward Brentford U21. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Brentford U21
6%
Empates
4%
Derby U21
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Brentford U21

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Brentford U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Brentford U21 taking it.
  • Brentford U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Derby U21, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • Brentford U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 100%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 62.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 28%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77.4%
Brentford U21 Sem Sofrer Gols 15%
Derby U21 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Brentford U21 Derby U21
Partidas Jogadas 29 29
Vitórias 19 8
Empates 4 8
Derrotas 6 13
Gols Marcados 2.31 1.72
Gols Sofridos 1.28 2.28
Gols Esperados (xG) 2.75 1.56
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

27 de abr. de 2026 Professional Development League
Brentford U21 vs Derby U21
2:0
6 de dez. de 2024 Premier League Cup
Derby U21 vs Brentford U21
1:4
21 de out. de 2024 Premier League Cup
Brentford U21 vs Derby U21
0:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Brentford U21 84 / 100
Derby U21 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Brentford U21 Derby U21

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Brentford U21 Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Brentford U21's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Derby U21 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.67 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Brentford U21 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Brentford U21 VS Derby U21
2.38 Gols Marcados 1.75
1.38 Gols Sofridos 3.13
100% Mais de 1.5 100%
63% Mais de 2.5 88%
50% Mais de 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Brentford U21

(Home)
13 Sept
Brentford U21
0 : 2
Everton U21
08 Sept
Hull City U21
1 : 1
Brentford U21
31 Aug
Brentford U21
5 : 1
Sunderland U21
21 Aug
Stoke City U21
2 : 3
Brentford U21
16 Aug
Brentford U21
2 : 0
Wycombe U21
Page 1 of 6

Derby U21

(Away)
11 Sept
Derby U21
1 : 3
Tottenham U21
08 Sept
Gateshead
1 : 3
Derby U21
31 Aug
Derby U21
4 : 4
West Brom U21
24 Aug
Reading U21
1 : 3
Derby U21
18 Aug
Halifax
6 : 2
Derby U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Southampton U21 2 1 1 0 5:1 4
2 QPR U21 2 1 0 1 6:5 3
3 Blackburn U21 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
4 Bolton U21 2 0 1 1 2:5 1
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cardiff U21 2 2 0 0 7:3 6
2 Leicester U21 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
3 Bournemouth U21 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Plymouth U21 2 0 0 2 3:6 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U21 2 1 1 0 6:3 4
2 Swansea U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Gillingham U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Birmingham U21 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U21 1 1 0 0 4:0 3
2 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
3 Newcastle Utd U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Luton U21 2 0 0 2 0:6 0
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wolves U21 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Preston U21 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Burnley U21 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Fleetwood Town U21 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brighton U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
2 Sheffield Utd U21 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 West Ham U21 2 0 1 1 2:4 1
4 Millwall U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bristol City U21 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Norwich U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Exeter U21 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Reading U21 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bromley U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 West Brom U21 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Coventry U21 2 1 0 1 4:5 3
4 Ipswich U21 1 0 0 1 2:4 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Charlton U21 2 2 0 0 3:1 6
2 Stockport U21 2 1 0 1 5:2 3
3 Leeds U21 2 0 1 1 0:1 1
4 Stoke City U21 2 0 1 1 0:4 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hull City U21 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
2 Brentford U21 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Wycombe U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
4 Derby U21 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
Promotion - Premier League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams