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Burkina Faso vs Mauritania - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso Logo

Burkina Faso

qua., 11 de nov. de 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Mauritania Logo

Mauritania

Nossa Dica
Resumo Prob Vitória Gols Forma H2H Tática Jogadores Índices Previsões Linha de Tempo Precisão Comparar

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 1-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Burkina Faso have averaged 1.79 scored and 1.29 conceded recently, against Mauritania's 0.75 scored and 0.89 conceded. Head-to-head, Burkina Faso have won 3 to Mauritania's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on 13 de ago. de 2025, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.06, favoring Burkina Faso. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

4%
Burkina Faso
6%
Empates
90%
Mauritania
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Mauritania

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Burkina Faso come out ahead of Mauritania on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Mauritania taking it.
  • Burkina Faso have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Burkina Faso, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 19%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 9%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 66.6%
Burkina Faso Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Mauritania Sem Sofrer Gols 13%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Burkina Faso Mauritania
Partidas Jogadas 38 28
Vitórias 20 8
Empates 5 11
Derrotas 13 9
Gols Marcados 1.79 0.75
Gols Sofridos 1.29 0.89
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.13 1.06
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

13 de ago. de 2025 African Nations Championship
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
1:0
16 de jan. de 2024 Africa Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Mauritania
1:0
17 de out. de 2023 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
1:2
30 de dez. de 2021 Friendly International
Mauritania vs Burkina Faso
0:0
28 de set. de 2019 WAFU Cup of Nations
Burkina Faso vs Mauritania
2:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Burkina Faso 10 / 100
Mauritania 84 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Burkina Faso Mauritania

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Mauritania Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Burkina Faso found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (38 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Burkina Faso has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Mauritania let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Tendências de Gols

Burkina Faso VS Mauritania
1.5 Gols Marcados 0.75
1.38 Gols Sofridos 0.75
88% Mais de 1.5 50%
63% Mais de 2.5 25%
25% Mais de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Burkina Faso

(Home)
04 Oct
Argentina
7 : 0
Burkina Faso
28 Sept
Central Africa
0 : 1
Burkina Faso
25 Sept
Burkina Faso
1 : 1
Benin
09 Jun
Belarus
2 : 2
Burkina Faso
05 Jun
Russia
3 : 0
Burkina Faso
Page 1 of 8

Mauritania

(Away)
29 Sept
Benin
2 : 1
Mauritania
24 Sept
Mauritania
3 : 1
Central Africa
08 Jun
Niger
0 : 1
Mauritania
05 Jun
Angola
1 : 1
Mauritania
27 Mar
Argentina
2 : 1
Mauritania
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)