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Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup The Oval, Caernarfon
sex., 13 de nov. de 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Caernarfon have averaged 2.17 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Holywell Town FC's 1.71 scored and 2.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Caernarfon have won 4 to Holywell Town FC's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 28 de ago. de 2026, ending 3:5. The numbers (3.13 xG vs 1.00) point toward Caernarfon. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Caernarfon
6%
Empates
4%
Holywell Town FC
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Caernarfon

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Caernarfon come out ahead of Holywell Town FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Caernarfon a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Caernarfon have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Caernarfon, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • Caernarfon have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 88%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 56.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 25%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77.4%
Caernarfon Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Holywell Town FC Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Caernarfon Holywell Town FC
Partidas Jogadas 29 31
Vitórias 16 8
Empates 2 5
Derrotas 11 18
Gols Marcados 2.17 1.71
Gols Sofridos 1.59 2.58
Gols Esperados (xG) 3.13 1.00
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

28 de ago. de 2026 Cymru Premier
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon
3:5
10 de set. de 2025 League Cup
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
3:2
24 de mar. de 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holywell Town FC vs Caernarfon
1:1
18 de nov. de 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
4:2
18 de mar. de 2017 Cymru Alliance
Caernarfon vs Holywell Town FC
6:2

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Caernarfon 85 / 100
Holywell Town FC 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Caernarfon Holywell Town FC

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Caernarfon Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Caernarfon's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Holywell Town FC conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Caernarfon has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Tendências de Gols

Caernarfon VS Holywell Town FC
3.13 Gols Marcados 1
1 Gols Sofridos 3.13
88% Mais de 1.5 88%
75% Mais de 2.5 75%
63% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Caernarfon

(Home)
06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0
Caernarfon
30 Oct
Airbus UK Broughton FC
3 : 2
Caernarfon
23 Oct
Caernarfon
3 : 1
Briton Ferry
17 Oct
Flint Town
1 : 3
Caernarfon
09 Oct
Haverfordwest
1 : 2
Caernarfon
Page 1 of 6

Holywell Town FC

(Away)
06 Nov
Holywell Town FC
2 : 3
Airbus UK Broughton FC
30 Oct
Flint Town
5 : 0
Holywell Town FC
17 Oct
Llay Welfare
3 : 4
Holywell Town FC
09 Oct
Holywell Town FC
1 : 6
TNS
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Llannefydd 0
Llandudno FC 1
Cefn Albion 2
Felinheli 3
Trefelin 4
Llantwit Major 1
Coedpoeth 4
Guilsfield 3
Flint Town 1
Caernarfon 3
Llay Welfare 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Pontarddulais 3
Goytre Utd 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Penycae FC 1
Dolgellau Athletic 4
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llangefni 0
Afan Lido 2
Penybont 3
Radnor Valley 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Llantwit Fardre 1
Baglan Dragons 3
Barry Town 2
Tredegar Town 0
Bala 3
Holyhead 4
Blaen-y-Maes 5
Ely Rangers 2
Llangennech 2
Pontardawe 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Newport City 5
Haverfordwest 4
Cardiff Corries 0
Cwmaman Institute 2
Ammanford Town 4
Newtown 7
Llanuwchllyn 0
Caerphilly 1
Chepstow Town 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Llysfaen 0
Mochdre Sports 2
1/16-finals
Llandudno FC -
Felinheli -
Trefelin -
Coedpoeth -
Caernarfon -
Holywell Town FC -
Rockspur -
Pontarddulais -
TNS -
Briton Ferry -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Caerau Ely -
Brickfield Rangers -
Penybont -
Cardiff Draconians -
Colwyn Bay -
Aberystwyth -
Baglan Dragons -
Barry Town -
Holyhead -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Llangennech -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Ammanford Town -
Newtown -
Caerphilly -
Cambrian United -
Bangor 1876 -
Connahs Q. -
Mochdre Sports -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
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