Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
The first leg ended 2-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Crewe have averaged 1.43 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Wigan's 1.11 scored and 1.25 conceded. Past meetings favor Wigan slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 15 de mar. de 2022, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.44 - 1.00) back Crewe to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Crewe average 1.43 goals a game right now, well clear of Wigan's 1.11.
- Model gives Crewe a 90% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Crewe, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Crewe | Wigan |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 28 | 28 |
| Vitórias | 10 | 10 |
| Empates | 10 | 6 |
| Derrotas | 8 | 12 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.43 | 1.11 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.44 | 1.00 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Attacking prowess: Crewe scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Wigan conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Crewe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Tendências de Gols
Recent Form & Match History
Crewe
(Home)Wigan
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sheffield Wed | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Accrington | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 3 | Salford | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Sunderland U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wigan | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Crewe | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 4 |
| 3 | Blackpool | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 2 |
| 4 | Aston Villa U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:7 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bradford City | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Newcastle Utd U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rotherham | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 4 | York City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chesterfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 2 | Port Vale | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 3 | Manchester City U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Mansfield | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stockport County | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:3 | 6 |
| 2 | Tranmere | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Everton U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 0 |
| 4 | Shrewsbury | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Notts County | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Burton | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Nottingham U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Grimsby | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:2 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 7)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fleetwood Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 2 | Leeds U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Oldham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Barnsley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:8 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 8)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Huddersfield | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Doncaster | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Liverpool U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Rochdale | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:8 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 9)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Exeter | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 6 |
| 2 | Cheltenham | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 3 | Oxford Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 1 |
| 4 | Tottenham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 10)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stevenage | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Leicester | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 3 |
| 3 | Walsall | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
| 4 | Fulham U21 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:6 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 11)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wycombe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 7 |
| 2 | Reading | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 | Chelsea U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 2 |
| 4 | Bristol Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 12)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Peterborough | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Luton | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 5 |
| 3 | Colchester | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 4 | Ipswich U21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:10 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 13)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 5 |
| 2 | Newport | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Crystal Palace U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Swindon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 14)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barnet | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 5 |
| 2 | Arsenal U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 3 | AFC Wimbledon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Leyton Orient | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 15)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cambridge Utd | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Brighton U21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 4 | Northampton | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 16)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Milton Keynes Dons | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:4 | 3 |
| 3 | Brentford U21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:7 | 3 |
| 4 | Bromley | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |