Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
England host Croatia in the UEFA Nations League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. England have averaged 2.48 scored and 0.74 conceded recently, against Croatia's 1.8 scored and 1.53 conceded. Head-to-head, England have won 4 to Croatia's 0, with 1 draws. They last met on 3 de out. de 2026, ending 0:7. Model xG sits at 2.31 vs 1.19, favoring England. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Croatia haven't matched England's recent run of results.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on England taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
- England have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | England | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 31 | 30 |
| Vitórias | 23 | 15 |
| Empates | 3 | 5 |
| Derrotas | 5 | 10 |
| Gols Marcados | 2.48 | 1.8 |
| Gols Sofridos | 0.74 | 1.53 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 2.31 | 1.19 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
England's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Croatia conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.
Recent resilience: England stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Tendências de Gols
Recent Form & Match History
England
(Home)Croatia
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
