Palpites de Esportes
Resumo do Jogo
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Uruguay. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Juventud have averaged 1.12 scored and 1.32 conceded recently, against Racing Montevideo's 1.24 scored and 0.79 conceded. Past meetings favor Juventud slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 4 de abr. de 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.25) point toward Racing Montevideo. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
- Racing Montevideo carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Racing Montevideo arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Juventud, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Estruturas defensivas fortes favorecem um jogo controlado e de poucos gols.
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Juventud | Racing Montevideo |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 34 | 29 |
| Vitórias | 9 | 15 |
| Empates | 11 | 9 |
| Derrotas | 14 | 5 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.12 | 1.24 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.32 | 0.79 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.13 | 1.25 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Attacking prowess: Juventud scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Juventud has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Racing Montevideo let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Tendências de Gols
Recent Form & Match History
Juventud
(Home)Racing Montevideo
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Montevideo City | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Danubio | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Atenas | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plaza Colonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Defensor Sp. | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 2 |
| 3 | Rentistas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 1 |
| 4 | Cerro Largo | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maldonado | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Cerrito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 3 |
| 3 | CA Cerro | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 4 | Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | 1 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Central Esp. | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 | Racing Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 3 | Juventud | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Club Oriental De Futbol | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Nacional | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 2 | Albion | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 3 | River Plate Montevideo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 4 | Progreso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boston River | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 2 | Liverpool M. | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Fenix | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Colon | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | 1 |