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Melbourne Victory vs Seoul - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 AAMI Park, Melbourne
qua., 14 de out. de 2026
VS
07:45 AM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

Melbourne Victory host Seoul in the AFC Champions League 2. This one's hard to separate. Seoul have shipped 0.93 goals a game lately, while Melbourne Victory have conceded 1.17 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, Melbourne Victory have won 1 to Seoul's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on 3 de dez. de 2020, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.29) point toward Seoul. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

80%
Melbourne Victory
11%
Empates
9%
Seoul
Projeção de empate: 11% Favorito: Melbourne Victory

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

93% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to Seoul lately — more wins on the board than Melbourne Victory.
  • Win probability leans Melbourne Victory's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League 2 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 25%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 11%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 71.4%
Melbourne Victory Sem Sofrer Gols 19%
Seoul Sem Sofrer Gols 14%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Melbourne Victory Seoul
Partidas Jogadas 29 28
Vitórias 14 15
Empates 7 5
Derrotas 8 8
Gols Marcados 1.79 1.64
Gols Sofridos 1.17 0.93
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.06 1.29
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

3 de dez. de 2020 AFC Champions League
Melbourne Victory vs Seoul
2:1
18 de fev. de 2020 AFC Champions League
Seoul vs Melbourne Victory
1:0

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Melbourne Victory 76 / 100
Seoul 11 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Melbourne Victory Seoul

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Melbourne Victory Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Melbourne Victory has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Melbourne Victory found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Seoul let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Tendências de Gols

Melbourne Victory VS Seoul
1 Gols Marcados 2.25
0.33 Gols Sofridos 1.13
50% Mais de 1.5 63%
17% Mais de 2.5 50%
0% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Melbourne Victory

(Home)
16 Sept
Viettel
1 : 1
Melbourne Victory
09 Sept
Sydney FC
0 : 2
Melbourne Victory
19 Aug
APIA Leichhardt
0 : 1
Melbourne Victory
08 Aug
Western Sydney Wanderers
1 : 2
Melbourne Victory
26 Jul
Kingborough Lions
0 : 4
Melbourne Victory
Page 1 of 6

Seoul

(Away)
20 Sept
Pohang
2 : 1
Seoul
16 Sept
Seoul
0 : 1
Persib Bandung
12 Sept
Jeonbuk
1 : 2
Seoul
08 Sept
Ulsan Hyundai
1 : 0
Seoul
05 Sept
Seoul
1 : 0
Incheon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Nasaf Qarshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Kuwait 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Jazira 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Gol Gohar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Muharraq 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Al Taawon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Al Nahda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al Faisaly Amman 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 East Bengal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Al Hussein 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Seeb 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Melbourne Victory 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Viettel 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Seoul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Lion City Sailors 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Pathum United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Tai Po 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Shanghai Shenhua 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Tampines 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Gangwon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kitchee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Kuching City FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)