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Stadium Background

Merthyr Town vs Harborough - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

FA Trophy
sáb., 14 de nov. de 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the FA Trophy. This one's hard to separate. Merthyr Town have averaged 1.47 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against Harborough's 1.61 scored and 1.25 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. xG projections (1.00 - 1.56) back Harborough to edge this. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

31%
Merthyr Town
39%
Empates
30%
Harborough
Projeção de empate: 39% Favorito: Draw

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

65% / Média de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to Harborough lately — more wins on the board than Merthyr Town.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Harborough arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 25%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 11%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 77.4%
Merthyr Town Sem Sofrer Gols 15%
Harborough Sem Sofrer Gols 15%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Merthyr Town Harborough
Partidas Jogadas 30 28
Vitórias 8 12
Empates 10 11
Derrotas 12 5
Gols Marcados 1.47 1.61
Gols Sofridos 1.5 1.25
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.00 1.56
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Merthyr Town 31 / 100
Harborough 30 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Merthyr Town Harborough

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Harborough Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: Merthyr Town scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Harborough conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Merthyr Town has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Harborough's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendências de Gols

Merthyr Town VS Harborough
1 Gols Marcados 1.13
2 Gols Sofridos 1
100% Mais de 1.5 50%
50% Mais de 2.5 38%
25% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Merthyr Town

(Home)
31 Oct
Radcliffe
3 : 3
Merthyr Town
27 Oct
Oxford City
3 : 0
Merthyr Town
24 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 3
Morecambe
17 Oct
Merthyr Town
1 : 1
King’s Lynn
10 Oct
Darlington FC
1 : 1
Merthyr Town
Page 1 of 6

Harborough

(Away)
31 Oct
Hebburn Town
1 : 1
Harborough
27 Oct
Buxton
3 : 0
Harborough
24 Oct
Harborough
1 : 1
Worksop
17 Oct
Harborough
3 : 1
Spennymoor
10 Oct
Harborough
1 : 0
Southport
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Hebburn Town -
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Warrington Rylands 1
Guiseley 3
Ashton United 1
Redcar Athletic 0
Workington 3
Cleethorpes 2
Bridlington Town 3
Curzon Ashton 2
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Spennymoor -
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Radcliffe -
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Marine -
Avro 2
Hyde 1
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Chester -
Darlington FC -
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Bury FC 3
Prescot Cables 0
Mickleover 1
Alfreton 2
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Southport -
Chorley -
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Buxton -
Worksop -
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South Shields -
Leek Town 4
Bootle 1
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Morecambe -
Bourne 1
Banbury 0
Anstey Nomads 0
Bromsgrove 1
Bedford -
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Chesham -
Needham Market 0
Wingate & Finchley 2
Deal Town 1
Hashtag 3
Braintree -
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Kettering 6
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn -
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Loughborough Students 0
Stourbridge 2
Evesham 0
Halesowen 4
Redditch 3
Gloucester City 2
Telford -
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Chelmsford -
Hednesford -
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Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
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Faversham 0
Newmarket 1
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Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
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Harborough -
Billericay -
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Hastings 2
Waltham Abbey 3
Enfield Town 5
Hanworth Villa 1
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Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
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Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
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Aveley 2
Carshalton 1
Farnham -
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Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
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Berkhamsted Town 1
Cray Wanderers 2
Weymouth 3
Sholing 2
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Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford 3
Three Bridges 2
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Horsham FC -
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Torquay -
Didcot 2
Poole Town 1
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Slough Town -
Maidstone -
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Whitehawk 4
St. Albans 3
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Taunton Town 1
Wimborne 4
Egham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Bath City 1
Frome Town 0
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Truro -
Leatherhead 2
Eastbourne Borough 3
Takeley 0
Chertsey Town 4
Dover Ath. -
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Erith Town 3
Burgess Hill 4
Salisbury -
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Gosport Borough 0
Chichester City 2
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1/64-finals
Hebburn Town -
Guiseley -
Ashton United -
Workington -
Bridlington Town -
Macclesfield -
Spennymoor -
Scarborough Athletic -
Radcliffe -
Marine -
Avro -
Chester -
Darlington FC -
Bury FC -
Alfreton -
Southport -
Chorley -
Buxton -
Worksop -
South Shields -
Leek Town -
Morecambe -
Bourne -
Bromsgrove -
Bedford -
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Wingate & Finchley -
Hashtag -
Braintree -
Kettering -
King’s Lynn -
Stourbridge -
Halesowen -
Redditch -
Telford -
Chelmsford -
Hednesford -
Hemel Hempstead -
Hereford -
Brackley -
Newmarket -
Oxford City -
Merthyr Town -
Harborough -
Billericay -
Waltham Abbey -
Enfield Town -
Spalding United -
Dagenham & Red. -
Dorking Wanderers -
Walton & Hersham -
Aveley -
Farnham -
Ebbsfleet -
Folkestone -
Cray Wanderers -
Weymouth -
Hampton & Richmond -
Dartford -
AFC Totton -
Horsham FC -
Torquay -
Didcot -
Slough Town -
Maidstone -
Maidenhead -
Whitehawk -
Tonbridge -
Wimborne -
Uxbridge -
Bath City -
Truro -
Eastbourne Borough -
Chertsey Town -
Dover Ath. -
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Quarter-finals
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Semi-finals
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Final
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