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Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy Stadium MK, Milton Keynes
Milton Keynes Dons Logo

Milton Keynes Dons

4 - 1
FT
Crawley Town Logo

Crawley Town

Nossa Dica

Eventos da Partida

19'
Robertson J.
22'
Fullah I.
31'
Matete J.
Resumo Prob Vitória Gols Forma H2H Tática Jogadores Índices Previsões Linha de Tempo Precisão Comparar

Resumo do Jogo

First leg ended 4-1. The second leg ended 4-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Milton Keynes Dons
6%
Empates
4%
Crawley Town
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Milton Keynes Dons

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Crawley Town haven't matched Milton Keynes Dons's recent run of results.
  • Milton Keynes Dons are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Milton Keynes Dons have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Crawley Town, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 44%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 20%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 71.4%
Milton Keynes Dons Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Crawley Town Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Milton Keynes Dons Crawley Town
Partidas Jogadas 26 26
Vitórias 9 6
Empates 10 7
Derrotas 7 13
Gols Marcados 1.58 1
Gols Sofridos 1.19 1.38
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.50 1.06
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

22 de set. de 2026 EFL Trophy
Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town
4:1
17 de fev. de 2026 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town
0:0
19 de ago. de 2025 League Two
Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
1:1
11 de mai. de 2024 League Two
Milton Keynes Dons vs Crawley Town
1:5
7 de mai. de 2024 League Two
Crawley Town vs Milton Keynes Dons
3:0

Análise de Impacto de Jogadores-Chave

Principais destaques e envolvimento esperado em gols

Milton Keynes Dons Comparar

Artilheiro Wiles B.
1 Gols
Líder de Assistências Sanders J.
1 Ast
Média xG / jogo 1.15
Média xA / jogo 0.75

Crawley Town Comparar

Artilheiro Tinsdale N.
1 Gols
Média xG / jogo 0.96
Média xA / jogo 0.59

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Milton Keynes Dons 85 / 100
Crawley Town 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Milton Keynes Dons Crawley Town

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Milton Keynes Dons Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Solid form: Milton Keynes Dons remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Milton Keynes Dons found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (26 games).

Defensive concern: Crawley Town conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

Tendências de Gols

Milton Keynes Dons VS Crawley Town
1.13 Gols Marcados 1.13
1 Gols Sofridos 1.88
50% Mais de 1.5 88%
38% Mais de 2.5 50%
38% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Milton Keynes Dons

(Home)
06 Oct
Milton Keynes Dons
7 : 1
Brentford U21
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
17 Sept
AFC Wimbledon
0 : 0
Milton Keynes Dons
12 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
1 : 1
Peterborough
05 Sept
Wycombe
3 : 3
Milton Keynes Dons
Page 1 of 6

Crawley Town

(Away)
06 Oct
Crawley Town
4 : 0
Bromley
22 Sept
Milton Keynes Dons
4 : 1
Crawley Town
19 Sept
Grimsby
2 : 0
Crawley Town
12 Sept
Crawley Town
1 : 3
Cheltenham
05 Sept
Accrington
3 : 2
Crawley Town
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
2 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
3 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)