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Namibia vs Congo

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
qua., 23 de set. de 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 3-0. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This one's hard to separate. Congo have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Namibia have conceded 1.13 and scored 0.91. Head-to-head, Namibia have won 1 to Congo's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on 11 de nov. de 2021, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.27 xG vs 0.91) point toward Namibia. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

31%
Namibia
39%
Empates
30%
Congo
Projeção de empate: 39% Favorito: Draw

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

65% / Média de Confiança
  • Namibia have won more games recently than Congo.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Namibia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Namibia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 13.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 6%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 66.6%
Namibia Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Congo Sem Sofrer Gols 11%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Namibia Congo
Partidas Jogadas 32 28
Vitórias 10 3
Empates 10 8
Derrotas 12 17
Gols Marcados 0.91 0.61
Gols Sofridos 1.13 1.86
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.27 0.91
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

11 de nov. de 2021 World Championship
Congo vs Namibia
1:1
2 de set. de 2021 World Championship
Namibia vs Congo
1:1
1 de jun. de 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Namibia
3:0
17 de mai. de 2014 Africa Cup of Nations
Namibia vs Congo
1:0

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Namibia 32 / 100
Congo 29 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Namibia Congo

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Congo Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Congo let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Congo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Namibia scored in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Tendências de Gols

Namibia VS Congo
1.25 Gols Marcados 0.57
1.25 Gols Sofridos 1.29
88% Mais de 1.5 71%
63% Mais de 2.5 14%
13% Mais de 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Namibia

(Home)
28 Mar
Namibia
1 : 0
Comoros
25 Mar
Kazakhstan
2 : 0
Namibia
17 Nov
Comoros
4 : 0
Namibia
14 Nov
Comoros
1 : 0
Namibia
13 Oct
Tunisia
3 : 0
Namibia
Page 1 of 7

Congo

(Away)
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0
Congo
12 Aug
Senegal
1 : 1
Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Lesotho 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Gabon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Niger 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Malawi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Egypt 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Angola 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 South Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ghana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Gambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Ivory Coast 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Somalia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Eritrea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sierra Leone 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Equatorial Guinea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zimbabwe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 D.R. Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mauritania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burkina Faso 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Benin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Central Africa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Namibia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Cameroon 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Congo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Comoros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Tunisia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Botswana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Uganda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Burundi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Zambia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Togo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ethiopia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Senegal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Mozambique 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Sudan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cape Verde 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Liberia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Rwanda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Mali 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Nigeria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Madagascar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Guinea Bissau 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)