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Newport vs Crystal Palace U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

EFL Trophy Rodney Parade, Newport
Newport Logo

Newport

ter., 3 de nov. de 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Crystal Palace U21 Logo

Crystal Palace U21

Nossa Dica
Resumo Prob Vitória Gols Forma H2H Tática Jogadores Índices Previsões Linha de Tempo Precisão Comparar

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the EFL Trophy. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Newport have averaged 1.3 scored and 1.63 conceded recently, against Crystal Palace U21's 1.59 scored and 1.66 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.33 - 1.38) back Crystal Palace U21 to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

50%
Newport
28%
Empates
22%
Crystal Palace U21
Projeção de empate: 28% Favorito: Newport

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

76% / Alta de Confiança
  • Crystal Palace U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Newport taking it.
  • Crystal Palace U21 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 19.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 9%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 72.6%
Newport Sem Sofrer Gols 17%
Crystal Palace U21 Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Newport Crystal Palace U21
Partidas Jogadas 30 29
Vitórias 11 13
Empates 6 4
Derrotas 13 12
Gols Marcados 1.3 1.59
Gols Sofridos 1.63 1.66
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.33 1.38
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Newport 48 / 100
Crystal Palace U21 22 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Newport Crystal Palace U21

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Newport Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Defensive concern: Crystal Palace U21 conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Newport found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Newport stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Crystal Palace U21 has suffered 2 losses in 5 recent matches.

Tendências de Gols

Newport VS Crystal Palace U21
1.38 Gols Marcados 1.14
1.63 Gols Sofridos 1.29
75% Mais de 1.5 71%
63% Mais de 2.5 43%
25% Mais de 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Newport

(Home)
06 Oct
Newport
2 : 3
Plymouth
03 Oct
Gillingham
0 : 0
Newport
26 Sept
Newport
2 : 1
Grimsby
22 Sept
Swindon
0 : 2
Newport
19 Sept
Accrington
0 : 0
Newport
Page 1 of 6

Crystal Palace U21

(Away)
22 Sept
Plymouth
5 : 1
Crystal Palace U21
19 Sept
Crystal Palace U21
0 : 1
Blackburn U21
15 Sept
Swindon
1 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
02 Sept
Crystal Palace U21
2 : 1
PSG U21
28 Aug
Aston Villa U21
0 : 2
Crystal Palace U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sheffield Wed 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Accrington 2 2 0 0 4:4 4
3 Salford 2 0 0 2 2:3 1
4 Sunderland U21 2 0 0 2 3:5 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan 2 2 0 0 6:4 6
2 Crewe 2 1 0 1 6:3 4
3 Blackpool 2 1 0 1 4:5 2
4 Aston Villa U21 2 0 0 2 3:7 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bradford City 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 Newcastle Utd U21 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
3 Rotherham 2 1 0 1 1:5 2
4 York City 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chesterfield 2 2 0 0 6:4 5
2 Port Vale 2 1 0 1 3:1 4
3 Manchester City U21 2 1 0 1 7:6 3
4 Mansfield 2 0 0 2 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stockport County 2 2 0 0 8:3 6
2 Tranmere 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Everton U21 1 0 0 1 3:6 0
4 Shrewsbury 2 0 0 2 0:3 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Notts County 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Burton 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
3 Nottingham U21 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
4 Grimsby 2 0 0 2 1:2 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fleetwood Town 2 1 0 1 4:2 3
2 Leeds U21 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
3 Oldham 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
4 Barnsley 2 0 0 2 4:8 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield 2 2 0 0 8:1 6
2 Doncaster 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Liverpool U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Rochdale 2 0 0 2 3:8 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Exeter 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Cheltenham 1 1 0 0 2:2 2
3 Oxford Utd 1 0 0 1 2:2 1
4 Tottenham U21 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Stevenage 2 2 0 0 8:2 6
2 Leicester 2 1 0 1 7:3 3
3 Walsall 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
4 Fulham U21 1 0 0 1 1:6 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wycombe 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
2 Reading 1 1 0 0 1:1 2
3 Chelsea U21 2 1 0 1 3:4 2
4 Bristol Rovers 2 0 0 2 3:6 1
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough 2 2 0 0 7:2 6
2 Luton 2 2 0 0 7:1 5
3 Colchester 2 0 0 2 2:4 1
4 Ipswich U21 2 0 0 2 1:10 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Plymouth 2 2 0 0 7:3 5
2 Newport 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Crystal Palace U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
4 Swindon 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 14)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barnet 2 2 0 0 5:1 5
2 Arsenal U21 2 1 0 1 3:6 3
3 AFC Wimbledon 2 0 0 2 1:1 2
4 Leyton Orient 2 1 0 1 2:3 2
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 15)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cambridge Utd 2 2 0 0 6:2 6
2 Brighton U21 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
4 Northampton 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 16)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Milton Keynes Dons 2 2 0 0 11:2 6
2 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
3 Brentford U21 2 1 0 1 2:7 3
4 Bromley 2 0 0 2 0:5 0
Promotion - EFL Trophy (Play Offs)