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North Korea vs Uzbekistan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

Asian Cup Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
qua., 13 de jan. de 2027
VS
02:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the Asian Cup. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: North Korea at 1.38 goals for, 1.42 against; Uzbekistan at 1.6 for, 1.06 against. Head-to-head, North Korea have won 0 to Uzbekistan's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on 19 de nov. de 2024, ending 0:1. xG projections (0.85 - 1.43) back Uzbekistan to edge this. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

42%
North Korea
20%
Empates
38%
Uzbekistan
Projeção de empate: 20% Favorito: North Korea

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

67% / Média de Confiança
  • Uzbekistan have won more games recently than North Korea.
  • North Korea are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Uzbekistan arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uzbekistan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • Uzbekistan have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 70%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 32%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 69.8%
North Korea Sem Sofrer Gols 17%
Uzbekistan Sem Sofrer Gols 17%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica North Korea Uzbekistan
Partidas Jogadas 24 35
Vitórias 7 20
Empates 6 7
Derrotas 11 8
Gols Marcados 1.38 1.6
Gols Sofridos 1.42 1.06
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.85 1.43
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

19 de nov. de 2024 World Championship
North Korea vs Uzbekistan
0:1
5 de set. de 2024 World Championship
Uzbekistan vs North Korea
1:0
7 de jun. de 2019 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs North Korea
4:0
13 de out. de 2018 Friendly International
Uzbekistan vs North Korea
2:0
12 de nov. de 2015 World Championship
Uzbekistan vs North Korea
3:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

North Korea 41 / 100
Uzbekistan 38 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
North Korea Uzbekistan

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Draw (X)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

North Korea found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (24 games).

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uzbekistan lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Uzbekistan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 35 matches.

Tendências de Gols

- VS Uzbekistan
0 Gols Marcados 1.75
0 Gols Sofridos 0.5
0% Mais de 1.5 75%
0% Mais de 2.5 38%
0% Mais de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

North Korea

(Home)
10 Jun
Iran
3 : 0
North Korea
05 Jun
North Korea
2 : 2
Kyrgyzstan
25 Mar
North Korea
1 : 2
United Arab Emirates
20 Mar
Qatar
5 : 1
North Korea
14 Mar
Jordan
1 : 1
North Korea
Page 1 of 5

Uzbekistan

(Away)
06 Oct
South Korea
2 : 0
Uzbekistan
01 Oct
Uzbekistan
4 : 1
Syria
24 Sept
Uzbekistan
3 : 1
Iran
27 Jun
D.R. Congo
3 : 1
Uzbekistan
23 Jun
Portugal
5 : 0
Uzbekistan
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saudi Arabia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Oman 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Kuwait 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Palestine 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Bahrain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Uzbekistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Jordan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Iran 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Syria 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 China 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Kyrgyzstan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Singapore 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Iraq 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tajikistan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 United Arab Emirates 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 South Korea 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Vietnam 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Yemen 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Qatar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Thailand 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Indonesia 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Asian Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams