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Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Sovcombank Arena, Nizhny Novgorod
qua., 14 de out. de 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the Russian Cup. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Pari Nizhny Novgorod have averaged 2.41 scored and 1.33 conceded recently, against Shinnik Yaroslavl's 1.29 scored and 0.82 conceded. Past meetings favor Pari Nizhny Novgorod slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2 de ago. de 2026, ending 3:0. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.25, favoring Pari Nizhny Novgorod. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6%
Empates
4%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Pari Nizhny Novgorod

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Pari Nizhny Novgorod come out ahead of Shinnik Yaroslavl on wins alone.
  • Model gives Pari Nizhny Novgorod a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Pari Nizhny Novgorod have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Pari Nizhny Novgorod, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pari Nizhny Novgorod have taken 4 of them.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 44%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 20%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 75.8%
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Sem Sofrer Gols 19%
Shinnik Yaroslavl Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Pari Nizhny Novgorod Shinnik Yaroslavl
Partidas Jogadas 27 28
Vitórias 15 10
Empates 5 15
Derrotas 7 3
Gols Marcados 2.41 1.29
Gols Sofridos 1.33 0.82
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.69 1.25
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

2 de ago. de 2026 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3:0
12 de fev. de 2023 Club Friendly
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:1
14 de mar. de 2021 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:3
19 de set. de 2020 FNL
Pari Nizhny Novgorod vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
3:0
3 de nov. de 2019 FNL
Shinnik Yaroslavl vs Pari Nizhny Novgorod
1:3

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Pari Nizhny Novgorod 85 / 100
Shinnik Yaroslavl 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Pari Nizhny Novgorod Shinnik Yaroslavl

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Pari Nizhny Novgorod Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Pari Nizhny Novgorod found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (27 games).

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Pari Nizhny Novgorod went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Shinnik Yaroslavl's defensive record shows goals conceded in 54% of 28 matches.

Tendências de Gols

Pari Nizhny Novgorod VS Shinnik Yaroslavl
2.75 Gols Marcados 1.25
1.25 Gols Sofridos 0.63
88% Mais de 1.5 63%
88% Mais de 2.5 25%
63% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pari Nizhny Novgorod

(Home)
10 Oct
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
5 : 0
Yenisey
27 Sept
CSKA Moscow
1 : 3
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
17 Sept
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
6 : 0
Leningradets
13 Sept
Torpedo Moscow
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
09 Sept
Dynamo Stavropol
1 : 2
Pari Nizhny Novgorod
Page 1 of 6

Shinnik Yaroslavl

(Away)
10 Oct
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Tekstilshtik
27 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 0
SKA Khabarovsk
18 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
0 : 1
Kamaz
14 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1 : 1
Ural
10 Sept
Shinnik Yaroslavl
2 : 0
Torpedo Moscow
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Ilpar FC 1
Metallurg Asha 0
TBD -
Saratov -
Khimik -
TBD -
TBD -
Nosta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leningradets -
Zvezda St Peterburg -
TBD -
TBD -
Luki-Energiya -
Kirovets-Voskhozhdenie 0
FK Tosno 3
TBD -
Cherepovets -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Kristall 2
Krasnoye Znamya 3
TBD -
D. Bryansk -
Strogino Moscow -
TBD -
TBD -
Vladimir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar -
TBD -
TBD -
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod -
Bomik 1
Broke Boys 2
TBD -
Kirov -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kamaz -
Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
Mashuk -
Nart Cherkessk -
TBD -
TBD -
Dynamo Stavropol -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye -
TBD -
Anzhi 1
Izberbash 5
Angust Nazran -
TBD -
TBD -
Maykop -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
TBD -
Kursk -
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 3
Salyut-Belgorod 0
Kaluga -
TBD -
TBD -
Iskra Smolensk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Chita 3
FC Irkutsk 0
TBD -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
Temp Barnaul 3
KDV Tomsk 4
TBD -
Sibir Novosibirsk -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Pobeda -
Spartak Nalchik -
TBD -
TBD -
Alania Vladikavkaz -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom -
TBD -
TBD -
M. Lipetsk -
TBD -
FK Shumbrat Saransk -
2Drots 2
FC Oryol 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
FC 10 3
Kosmos 2
TBD -
Dynamo Petersburg -
Dynamo Vologda -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Tver -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -
TBD -
TBD -
Tyumen -
FK Izhevsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Miass -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
SKA Rostov-on-Don 3
Penza 2
TBD -
Spartak Tambov -
Kvant Obninsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Ryazan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk -
TBD -
TBD -
Saturn Ramenskoye -
Anri Vladivostok 1
Dynamo Barnaul 2
TBD -
Dynamo Vladivostok -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
1/16-finals
Ilpar FC 1
Saratov 3
Khimik 2
Nosta 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leningradets -
Zvezda St Peterburg 1
Luki-Energiya 2
FK Tosno 0
Cherepovets 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ural -
Krasnoye Znamya 2
D. Bryansk 0
Strogino Moscow 0
Vladimir 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar 2
Pobeda Nizhniy Novgorod 0
Broke Boys 0
Kirov 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kamaz -
Astrakhan 2
Mashuk 1
Nart Cherkessk 1
Dynamo Stavropol 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
FK Chayka Peschanokopskoye 0
Izberbash 3
Angust Nazran 0
Maykop 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kursk 2
Kristall MEZ Borisoglebsk 1
Kaluga 5
Iskra Smolensk 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ufa -
Chita 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 3
KDV Tomsk 3
Sibir Novosibirsk 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 2
FK Pobeda 0
Spartak Nalchik 4
Alania Vladikavkaz 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom 1
M. Lipetsk 0
FK Shumbrat Saransk 1
2Drots 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
FC 10 1
Dynamo Petersburg 2
Dynamo Vologda 2
FK Tver 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
Tyumen 1
FK Izhevsk 1
Torpedo Miass 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
SKA Rostov-on-Don 1
Spartak Tambov 2
Kvant Obninsk 0
Ryazan 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk 2
Saturn Ramenskoye 1
Dynamo Barnaul 1
Dynamo Vladivostok 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
1/8-finals
Saratov 2
Nosta 1
TBD -
Leningradets -
Luki-Energiya 4
Cherepovets 1
TBD -
Ural -
Krasnoye Znamya 1
Vladimir 0
TBD -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Amkar 4
Kirov 5
TBD -
Kamaz -
Astrakhan 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
TBD -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
TBD -
TBD -
Torpedo Moscow -
Izberbash 1
Maykop 2
TBD -
Yenisey -
Kursk 1
Kaluga 2
TBD -
Ufa -
FC Chertanovo Moscow 4
KDV Tomsk 2
TBD -
Neftekhimik -
Tekstilshtik -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal Tula -
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 3
Spartak Nalchik 0
TBD -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom 3
2Drots 0
TBD -
Veles Moscow -
Dynamo Petersburg 2
Dynamo Vologda 1
TBD -
PFC Sochi -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 1
Torpedo Miass 0
TBD -
R. Volgograd -
Spartak Tambov 1
Ryazan 2
TBD -
S. Kostroma -
Irtysh Omsk 0
Dynamo Barnaul 5
TBD -
Chelyabinsk -
Quarter-finals
Saratov 1
Leningradets 2
Luki-Energiya 2
Ural 1
Krasnoye Znamya 0
SKA Khabarovsk 4
Kirov 1
Kamaz 0
Dynamo Stavropol 1
Pari Nizhny Novgorod 2
Shinnik Yaroslavl 2
Torpedo Moscow 0
Maykop 1
Yenisey 2
Kaluga 1
Ufa 0
FC Chertanovo Moscow 2
Neftekhimik 1
Tekstilshtik 1
Arsenal Tula 0
FC Volgar-Astrakhan 0
Ulyanovsk 1
FC Murom 1
Veles Moscow 0
Dynamo Petersburg 2
PFC Sochi 0
Volna Nizhegorodskaya 2
R. Volgograd 0
Ryazan 0
S. Kostroma 2
Dynamo Barnaul 0
Chelyabinsk 2
Semi-finals
Leningradets -
Luki-Energiya -
SKA Khabarovsk -
Kirov -
Pari Nizhny Novgorod -
Shinnik Yaroslavl -
Yenisey -
Kaluga -
FC Chertanovo Moscow -
Tekstilshtik -
Ulyanovsk -
FC Murom -
Dynamo Petersburg -
Volna Nizhegorodskaya -
S. Kostroma -
Chelyabinsk -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -