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Pathum United vs Adelaide Utd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2 True BG Stadium, Pathum Thani
qui., 15 de out. de 2026
VS
12:15 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

Pathum United host Adelaide Utd in the AFC Champions League 2. This one's hard to separate. Adelaide Utd have shipped 1.34 goals a game lately, while Pathum United have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.64. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.56) point toward Pathum United. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

42%
Pathum United
20%
Empates
38%
Adelaide Utd
Projeção de empate: 20% Favorito: Pathum United

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

67% / Média de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to Adelaide Utd lately — more wins on the board than Pathum United.
  • Win probability leans Pathum United's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 98%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 87.5%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 70%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 32%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 73.4%
Pathum United Sem Sofrer Gols 15%
Adelaide Utd Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Pathum United Adelaide Utd
Partidas Jogadas 28 29
Vitórias 12 13
Empates 9 8
Derrotas 7 8
Gols Marcados 1.64 1.72
Gols Sofridos 1.07 1.34
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.50 1.56
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Pathum United 41 / 100
Adelaide Utd 36 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Pathum United Adelaide Utd

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Draw (X)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: Pathum United scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Adelaide Utd has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Pathum United went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Adelaide Utd registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Pathum United VS Adelaide Utd
1.75 Gols Marcados 1.75
1.38 Gols Sofridos 1.25
75% Mais de 1.5 100%
75% Mais de 2.5 63%
50% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pathum United

(Home)
20 Sept
Bangkok Utd
3 : 2
Pathum United
17 Sept
Lion City Sailors
1 : 1
Pathum United
12 Sept
Pathum United
3 : 2
Rasisalai United
04 Sept
Pattani
0 : 0
Pathum United
09 Aug
Pathum United
2 : 2
Lee Man Warriors
Page 1 of 6

Adelaide Utd

(Away)
03 Oct
Perth Glory
1 : 3
Adelaide Utd
27 Sept
Perth Glory
2 : 0
Adelaide Utd
17 Sept
Adelaide Utd
3 : 0
Tai Po
11 Aug
Adelaide Utd
0 : 2
Cong An Ha Noi
30 Jul
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Adelaide Utd
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wahda 1 1 0 0 3:2 3
2 Nasaf Qarshi 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Al Khalidiyah 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Kuwait 1 0 0 1 2:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arkadag 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Al Jazira 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Gol Gohar 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Al Muharraq 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 1 1 0 0 4:3 3
2 Al Taawon 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Al Nahda 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Al Faisaly Amman 1 0 0 1 3:4 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 East Bengal 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
3 Al Hussein 1 0 1 0 2:2 1
4 Al Seeb 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Persib Bandung 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
2 Melbourne Victory 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Viettel 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Seoul 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Adelaide Utd 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
2 Lion City Sailors 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Pathum United 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Tai Po 1 0 0 1 0:3 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Machida Zelvia 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
2 Shanghai Shenhua 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
3 Tampines 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
4 Svay Rieng 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Phnom Penh Crown 1 1 0 0 2:1 3
2 Gangwon 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
3 Kitchee 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
4 Kuching City FC 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Play Offs: 1/2-finals)