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Penybont vs Cardiff Draconians - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Wales Wales

FAW Welsh Cup Bryntirion Park, Bridgend
sex., 13 de nov. de 2026
VS
07:45 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the FAW Welsh Cup. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Penybont have averaged 1.57 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Cardiff Draconians's 1.57 scored and 1.79 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.25, favoring Penybont. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
Penybont
6%
Empates
4%
Cardiff Draconians
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: Penybont

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Penybont carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Penybont a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Penybont have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 50%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 23%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 72.6%
Penybont Sem Sofrer Gols 19%
Cardiff Draconians Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Penybont Cardiff Draconians
Partidas Jogadas 28 28
Vitórias 15 9
Empates 4 5
Derrotas 9 14
Gols Marcados 1.57 1.57
Gols Sofridos 1.04 1.79
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.94 1.25
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Penybont 85 / 100
Cardiff Draconians 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Penybont Cardiff Draconians

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Penybont Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Cardiff Draconians has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Penybont found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Penybont has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Cardiff Draconians's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Tendências de Gols

Penybont VS Cardiff Draconians
2.25 Gols Marcados 1.5
1 Gols Sofridos 1.63
63% Mais de 1.5 100%
63% Mais de 2.5 63%
50% Mais de 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Penybont

(Home)
06 Nov
Penybont
2 : 0
Caernarfon
31 Oct
Cardiff Metropolitan University
0 : 5
Penybont
18 Oct
Afan Lido
2 : 3
Penybont
09 Oct
Penybont
3 : 1
Barry Town
03 Oct
Connahs Q.
1 : 0
Penybont
Page 1 of 6

Cardiff Draconians

(Away)
07 Nov
Pure Swansea
2 : 0
Cardiff Draconians
31 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 0
Afan Lido
23 Oct
Trethomas Bluebirds
3 : 1
Cardiff Draconians
17 Oct
Radnor Valley
1 : 3
Cardiff Draconians
10 Oct
Cardiff Draconians
2 : 2
Carmarthen Town
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Llannefydd 0
Llandudno FC 1
Cefn Albion 2
Felinheli 3
Trefelin 4
Llantwit Major 1
Coedpoeth 4
Guilsfield 3
Flint Town 1
Caernarfon 3
Llay Welfare 3
Holywell Town FC 4
Evans Williams 3
Rockspur 4
Pontarddulais 3
Goytre Utd 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
TNS 2
Briton Ferry 5
Afan United 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Ynyshir Albions 0
Penycae FC 1
Dolgellau Athletic 4
Caerau Ely 6
Llanelli 0
Brickfield Rangers 2
Llangefni 0
Afan Lido 2
Penybont 3
Radnor Valley 1
Cardiff Draconians 3
Buckley 2
Colwyn Bay 3
Aberystwyth 5
Prestatyn 1
Llantwit Fardre 1
Baglan Dragons 3
Barry Town 2
Tredegar Town 0
Bala 3
Holyhead 4
Blaen-y-Maes 5
Ely Rangers 2
Llangennech 2
Pontardawe 1
Carmarthen Town 4
Newport City 5
Haverfordwest 4
Cardiff Corries 0
Cwmaman Institute 2
Ammanford Town 4
Newtown 7
Llanuwchllyn 0
Caerphilly 1
Chepstow Town 0
Cambrian United 5
Trethomas Bluebirds 0
Denbigh 0
Bangor 1876 2
Connahs Q. 4
Porthmadog 0
Llysfaen 0
Mochdre Sports 2
1/16-finals
Llandudno FC -
Felinheli -
Trefelin -
Coedpoeth -
Caernarfon -
Holywell Town FC -
Rockspur -
Pontarddulais -
TNS -
Briton Ferry -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Dolgellau Athletic -
Caerau Ely -
Brickfield Rangers -
Penybont -
Cardiff Draconians -
Colwyn Bay -
Aberystwyth -
Baglan Dragons -
Barry Town -
Holyhead -
Blaen-y-Maes -
Llangennech -
Newport City -
Haverfordwest -
Ammanford Town -
Newtown -
Caerphilly -
Cambrian United -
Bangor 1876 -
Connahs Q. -
Mochdre Sports -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
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TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
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