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Rodina Moscow vs Spartak Moscow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Russia Russia

Russian Cup Arena Khimki, Khimki
qui., 15 de out. de 2026
VS
05:45 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 3-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Recent numbers: Rodina Moscow at 1.79 goals for, 1.79 against; Spartak Moscow at 1.66 for, 0.93 against. Past meetings favor Spartak Moscow slightly — 0-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 2 de set. de 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 2.19) point toward Spartak Moscow. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

22%
Rodina Moscow
28%
Empates
50%
Spartak Moscow
Projeção de empate: 28% Favorito: Spartak Moscow

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

76% / Alta de Confiança
  • Rodina Moscow haven't matched Spartak Moscow's recent run of results.
  • Spartak Moscow are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Spartak Moscow arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spartak Moscow, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • History favors Spartak Moscow here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 99%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 94%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 31.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 14%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 75.8%
Rodina Moscow Sem Sofrer Gols 10%
Spartak Moscow Sem Sofrer Gols 16%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Rodina Moscow Spartak Moscow
Partidas Jogadas 28 29
Vitórias 12 18
Empates 5 4
Derrotas 11 7
Gols Marcados 1.79 1.66
Gols Sofridos 1.79 0.93
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.94 2.19
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

2 de set. de 2026 Russian Cup
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
3:1
25 de jul. de 2026 Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
3:0
16 de set. de 2020 Russian Cup
Rodina Moscow vs Spartak Moscow
1:5

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Rodina Moscow 22 / 100
Spartak Moscow 48 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Rodina Moscow Spartak Moscow

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Spartak Moscow Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Rodina Moscow scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Spartak Moscow let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Rodina Moscow went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Rodina Moscow VS Spartak Moscow
1 Gols Marcados 1.75
2.63 Gols Sofridos 0.88
100% Mais de 1.5 88%
75% Mais de 2.5 63%
50% Mais de 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Rodina Moscow

(Home)
04 Oct
Dynamo Moscow
3 : 2
Rodina Moscow
27 Sept
Partizan
2 : 3
Rodina Moscow
16 Sept
Rodina Moscow
1 : 1
Rubin Kazan
11 Sept
Krylya Sovetov Samara
2 : 1
Rodina Moscow
06 Sept
Dynamo Makhachkala
2 : 0
Rodina Moscow
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Spartak Moscow

(Away)
16 Sept
Spartak Moscow
1 : 0
Fakel Voronezh
13 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 0
FK Rostov
06 Sept
Dynamo Moscow
2 : 1
Spartak Moscow
02 Sept
Spartak Moscow
3 : 1
Rodina Moscow
30 Aug
Spartak Moscow
1 : 1
Orenburg
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spartak Moscow 3 2 0 1 9:3 7
2 Rubin Kazan 3 2 0 1 2:7 4
3 Orenburg 3 1 0 2 6:7 4
4 Rodina Moscow 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krasnodar 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
2 Dynamo Moscow 3 2 0 1 4:1 6
3 Akhmat Grozny 3 1 0 2 3:5 4
4 Fakel Voronezh 3 0 0 3 2:4 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg 3 3 0 0 4:0 8
2 Krylya Sovetov Samara 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
3 Baltika 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
4 Dynamo Makhachkala 3 0 0 3 2:6 1
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FK Rostov 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 Akron Togliatti 3 2 0 1 1:4 5
3 CSKA Moscow 3 1 0 2 1:4 2
4 Lokomotiv Moscow 3 0 0 3 1:2 2
Promotion - Russian Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Russian Cup (Regions Path - Play Offs)