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South Melbourne vs Sutherland Sharks - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Australian Championship Lakeside Stadium, Melbourne
sáb., 7 de nov. de 2026
VS
08:30 AM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

South Melbourne host Sutherland Sharks in the Australian Championship. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. South Melbourne have averaged 1.82 scored and 1.41 conceded recently, against Sutherland Sharks's 1.52 scored and 1.17 conceded. Head-to-head, South Melbourne have won 1 to Sutherland Sharks's 0, with 0 draws. They last met on 17 de out. de 2026, ending 0:1. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.19) point toward South Melbourne. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

90%
South Melbourne
6%
Empates
4%
Sutherland Sharks
Projeção de empate: 6% Favorito: South Melbourne

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

95% / Muito Alta de Confiança
  • Form's been kind to South Melbourne lately — more wins on the board than Sutherland Sharks.
  • Model gives South Melbourne a 90% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Australian Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 12.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 6%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 75.4%
South Melbourne Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Sutherland Sharks Sem Sofrer Gols 10%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica South Melbourne Sutherland Sharks
Partidas Jogadas 34 29
Vitórias 20 14
Empates 3 4
Derrotas 11 11
Gols Marcados 1.82 1.52
Gols Sofridos 1.41 1.17
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.63 1.19
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

17 de out. de 2026 Australian Championship
Sutherland Sharks vs South Melbourne
0:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

South Melbourne 85 / 100
Sutherland Sharks 10 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
South Melbourne Sutherland Sharks

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal South Melbourne Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

South Melbourne's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Recent resilience: South Melbourne stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Sutherland Sharks has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Sutherland Sharks registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

South Melbourne VS Sutherland Sharks
2 Gols Marcados 1
1.38 Gols Sofridos 1.25
88% Mais de 1.5 75%
88% Mais de 2.5 50%
25% Mais de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

South Melbourne

(Home)
29 Oct
Canberra Croatia
0 : 2
South Melbourne
23 Oct
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Sydney Utd
17 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
0 : 1
South Melbourne
10 Oct
South Melbourne
2 : 1
Melbourne Victory
15 Sept
South Melbourne
3 : 1
Queensland Lions
Page 1 of 7

Sutherland Sharks

(Away)
31 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Sydney Utd
24 Oct
Canberra Croatia
0 : 2
Sutherland Sharks
17 Oct
Sutherland Sharks
0 : 1
South Melbourne
02 Sept
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
Manly Utd
30 Aug
Sutherland Sharks
1 : 2
SD Raiders
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Melbourne 3 3 0 0 5:1 8
2 Sydney Utd 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
3 Sutherland Sharks 3 1 0 2 3:3 3
4 Canberra Croatia 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Broadmeadow Magic FC 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
2 Wests APIA 3 2 0 1 8:4 7
3 Avondale FC 3 1 0 2 6:9 2
4 Adelaide City 3 0 0 3 5:9 1
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayswater 3 2 0 1 5:3 7
2 Oakleigh Cannons 3 2 0 1 5:3 6
3 Sydney Olympic 3 1 0 2 6:8 3
4 Marconi Stallions 3 1 0 2 4:6 2
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Queensland Lions 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
2 Wollongong 3 2 0 1 4:3 5
3 Preston Lions 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
4 South Hobart 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
Promotion - Australian Championship (Play Offs)