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Uganda vs Botswana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations
qua., 11 de nov. de 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Botswana have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Uganda have conceded 1 and scored 1.36. Past meetings favor Uganda slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 9 de out. de 2025, ending 0:1. The numbers (0.94 xG vs 0.81) point toward Uganda. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

40%
Uganda
33%
Empates
27%
Botswana
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Uganda

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

70% / Média de Confiança
  • Look at the last few games and Uganda come out ahead of Botswana on wins alone.
  • Uganda are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Uganda have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Uganda, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Uganda have taken 5 of them.

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 25%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 11%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 66.2%
Uganda Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Botswana Sem Sofrer Gols 16%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica Uganda Botswana
Partidas Jogadas 33 30
Vitórias 19 6
Empates 5 11
Derrotas 9 13
Gols Marcados 1.36 0.83
Gols Sofridos 1 1.43
Gols Esperados (xG) 0.94 0.81
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

9 de out. de 2025 World Championship
Botswana vs Uganda
0:1
7 de jun. de 2024 World Championship
Uganda vs Botswana
1:0
4 de jun. de 2016 Africa Cup of Nations
Botswana vs Uganda
1:2
13 de jun. de 2015 Africa Cup of Nations
Uganda vs Botswana
2:0
30 de ago. de 2013 Friendly International
Botswana vs Uganda
1:3

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

Uganda 40 / 100
Botswana 28 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
Uganda Botswana

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Uganda Win (1)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Uganda's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Botswana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Uganda went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

Uganda VS Botswana
0.5 Gols Marcados 0.63
1 Gols Sofridos 1.38
50% Mais de 1.5 50%
25% Mais de 2.5 50%
25% Mais de 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uganda

(Home)
05 Oct
Uganda
1 : 1
D.R. Congo
02 Oct
D.R. Congo
0 : 2
Uganda
29 Sept
Uganda
1 : 0
Libya
24 Sept
Tunisia
1 : 1
Uganda
30 Dec
Uganda
1 : 3
Nigeria
Page 1 of 7

Botswana

(Away)
28 Sept
Tunisia
2 : 2
Botswana
24 Sept
Libya
2 : 2
Botswana
31 Mar
Botswana
1 : 0
Malawi
28 Mar
Botswana
0 : 3
Zimbabwe
30 Dec
Botswana
0 : 3
D.R. Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gabon 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Niger 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
4 Lesotho 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Egypt 2 1 1 0 5:0 4
2 Angola 2 1 1 0 3:1 4
3 Malawi 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 South Sudan 2 0 0 2 1:7 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ivory Coast 2 2 0 0 4:0 6
2 Gambia 2 2 0 0 6:3 6
3 Somalia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
4 Ghana 2 0 0 2 2:6 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Guinea 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
3 Eritrea 2 0 1 1 1:6 1
4 Kenya 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D.R. Congo 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
2 Zimbabwe 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
3 Equatorial Guinea 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Sierra Leone 2 0 0 2 2:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Benin 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
2 Burkina Faso 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
3 Mauritania 2 1 0 1 4:3 3
4 Central Africa 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cameroon 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Comoros 2 1 0 1 2:3 3
3 Namibia 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Congo 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Botswana 2 0 2 0 4:4 2
3 Tunisia 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
4 Libya 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Algeria 2 1 1 0 5:3 4
2 Zambia 2 1 0 1 3:3 3
3 Togo 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
4 Burundi 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal 2 1 1 0 2:1 4
2 Mozambique 2 1 1 0 5:2 4
3 Sudan 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Ethiopia 2 0 0 2 0:2 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rwanda 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Mali 2 2 0 0 4:1 6
3 Cape Verde 2 0 0 2 2:5 0
4 Liberia 2 0 0 2 1:4 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guinea Bissau 2 2 0 0 5:0 6
2 Nigeria 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
3 Tanzania 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
4 Madagascar 2 0 1 1 2:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations (Main)