Palpites de Esportes
Eventos da Partida
10'
10'
Sub
Hojbjerg P. Entra: Skov Olsen A.
Sai: Hojbjerg P.
29'
29'
Cullen L.
56'
56'
Sub
Koumas L. Entra: Harris M.
Sai: Koumas L.
Resumo do Jogo
The UEFA Nations League game between Wales and Denmark finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Denmark.
Probabilidade de Vitória
Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente
27%
33%
40%
Projeção de empate: 33% Favorito: Denmark
Confiança do Modelo
Pontuação indicadora agregada
70%
/ Média de Confiança
- Denmark carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Denmark a 40% chance of winning this.
- European nights carry their own weight — this UEFA Nations League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- Estruturas defensivas fortes favorecem um jogo controlado e de poucos gols.
- Denmark have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Probabilidade de Gols
Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG
Mais de 0.5 Gols 91%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 81.5%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 25%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 22%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 10%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Wales Sem Sofrer Gols 11%
Denmark Sem Sofrer Gols 68%
Análise de Forma Recente
Médias por partida nos jogos históricos
| Métrica | Wales | Denmark |
|---|---|---|
| Partidas Jogadas | 30 | 32 |
| Vitórias | 10 | 15 |
| Empates | 9 | 8 |
| Derrotas | 11 | 9 |
| Gols Marcados | 1.4 | 1.78 |
| Gols Sofridos | 1.27 | 1.16 |
| Gols Esperados (xG) | 1.75 | 1.81 |
| Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados
4 de out. de 2026 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Denmark
0:1
27 de set. de 2026 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Wales
2:0
26 de jun. de 2021 Euro
Wales vs Denmark
0:4
16 de nov. de 2018 UEFA Nations League
Wales vs Denmark
1:2
9 de set. de 2018 UEFA Nations League
Denmark vs Wales
2:0
Índice de Momentum SokaPicks
Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente
Wales 27 / 100
Denmark 50 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).
Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa
Wales Denmark
Previsão do Mecanismo
Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas
Escolha Principal Denmark Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
Resultado BTTS No (NG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Under 2.5
Insights Inteligentes
Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados
Wales's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Defensive concern: Denmark conceded in 56% of 32 recent games.
Wales has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Tendências de Gols
Wales VS Denmark
1.75 Gols Marcados 2.13
1.5 Gols Sofridos 1.75
75% Mais de 1.5 88%
50% Mais de 2.5 88%
25% Mais de 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Wales
(Home) 04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1 Denmark
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1 Norway
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0 Wales
24 Sept
Portugal
1 : 0 Wales
06 Jun
Romania
2 : 1 Wales
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1 Denmark
01 Oct
Wales
2 : 1 Norway
02 Jun
Wales
1 : 1 Ghana
31 Mar
Wales
1 : 1 Northern Ireland
26 Mar
Wales
1 : 2 Bosnia & Herzegovina
Page 1 of 4
Denmark
(Away) 04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1 Denmark
01 Oct
Denmark
2 : 4 Portugal
27 Sept
Denmark
2 : 0 Wales
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2 Denmark
07 Jun
Denmark
2 : 1 Ukraine
Page 1 of 7
04 Oct
Wales
0 : 1 Denmark
24 Sept
Norway
3 : 2 Denmark
03 Jun
D.R. Congo
0 : 0 Denmark
31 Mar
Czech Republic
3 : 2 Denmark
18 Nov
Scotland
4 : 2 Denmark
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | France | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 10 |
| 2 | Italy | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Belgium | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:5 | 6 |
| 4 | Turkey | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netherlands | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:5 | 8 |
| 2 | Greece | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Germany | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Serbia | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:8 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12:5 | 12 |
| 2 | England | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14:3 | 9 |
| 3 | Croatia | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:14 | 3 |
| 4 | Czech Republic | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:10 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portugal | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Denmark | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Wales | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Norway | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:8 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A - Play Offs)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2028/2029 (League B)
