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Stadium Background

York City vs Northampton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Inglaterra Inglaterra

FA Cup York Community Stadium, York
sáb., 7 de nov. de 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Nossa Dica

Resumo do Jogo

A one-off knockout match in the FA Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. York City have averaged 1.71 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Northampton's 0.82 scored and 1.43 conceded. Past meetings favor Northampton slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on 10 de out. de 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.06) point toward York City. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Probabilidade de Vitória

Obtido a partir de 10.000 simulações considerando a vantagem de casa e forma recente

36%
York City
44%
Empates
20%
Northampton
Projeção de empate: 44% Favorito: Draw

Confiança do Modelo

Pontuação indicadora agregada

71% / Média de Confiança
  • York City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • York City have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Northampton, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Taxas de conversão altas sugerem jogo com muitos gols (Probabilidade Mais de 2.5: 78%).

Probabilidade de Gols

Estimativas para mercados de gols com base nos históricos de conversão de xG

Mais de 0.5 Gols 92%
Mais de 1.5 Gols 82%
Mais de 2.5 Gols 78%
Mais de 3.5 Gols 6.5%
Mais de 4.5 Gols 3%
Ambas Marcam (BTTS) 73.4%
York City Sem Sofrer Gols 20%
Northampton Sem Sofrer Gols 14%

Análise de Forma Recente

Médias por partida nos jogos históricos

Métrica York City Northampton
Partidas Jogadas 28 28
Vitórias 11 5
Empates 7 7
Derrotas 10 16
Gols Marcados 1.71 0.82
Gols Sofridos 1.57 1.43
Gols Esperados (xG) 1.06 1.06
Gols Esperados Sofridos (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Taxas históricas de sucesso de previsão nos principais mercados

10 de out. de 2026 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:1
23 de fev. de 2016 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:2
6 de fev. de 2016 League Two
Northampton vs York City
2:0
21 de fev. de 2015 League Two
Northampton vs York City
3:0
16 de ago. de 2014 League Two
York City vs Northampton
1:1

Índice de Momentum SokaPicks

Índice atual de desempenho incluindo cansaço e oponente

York City 36 / 100
Northampton 21 / 100
Como é calculado: Fórmula ponderada baseada em forma recente (60%), margem de gols (20%), mando (10%) e desfalques (10%).

Índice de Capacidade de Ataque e Defesa

ATAQUE DEFESA POSSE DISCIPLINA
York City Northampton

Previsão do Mecanismo

Frequências simuladas de placar e principais mercados de apostas

Escolha Principal Northampton Win (2)
Escolha Secundária Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
Resultado BTTS Yes (GG)
Escolha Mais/Menos Over 2.5

Insights Inteligentes

Tendências históricas e padrões exclusivos detetados

Attacking prowess: York City scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Northampton's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Recent resilience: York City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Tendências de Gols

York City VS Northampton
1.25 Gols Marcados 0.88
1.25 Gols Sofridos 0.88
100% Mais de 1.5 63%
38% Mais de 2.5 13%
13% Mais de 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

York City

(Home)
31 Oct
Grimsby
5 : 2
York City
27 Oct
Barnet
3 : 1
York City
24 Oct
York City
2 : 0
Port Vale
20 Oct
York City
1 : 1
Accrington
17 Oct
Newport
1 : 1
York City
Page 1 of 6

Northampton

(Away)
03 Nov
Northampton
0 : 1
Oldham
31 Oct
Accrington
1 : 1
Northampton
24 Oct
Northampton
2 : 0
Colchester
20 Oct
Northampton
0 : 1
Tranmere
17 Oct
Grimsby
0 : 2
Northampton
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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Exeter -
Luton -
Forest Green -
Bristol Rovers -
Cambridge Utd -
Oldham -
Sheffield Wed -
Kidderminster -
Doncaster -
Leyton Orient -
Harborough -
Accrington -
Wycombe -
Milton Keynes Dons -
Swindon -
Newport -
Walsall -
Bromley -
Rotherham -
Barnet -
Tranmere -
Fleetwood Town -
Rochdale -
Barnsley -
Aldershot -
Plymouth Parkway -
Berkhamsted Town -
Chesterfield -
Yeovil -
Gillingham -
Barrow -
Harrogate -
AFC Fylde -
Crewe -
AFC Wimbledon -
Oxford Utd -
Stevenage -
Burton -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Cray Wanderers -
Stockport County -
Port Vale -
Scunthorpe -
Cheltenham -
Halifax -
Colchester -
Worcester -
Eastleigh -
Shrewsbury -
Peterborough -
Reading -
Wimborne -
Crawley Town -
Plymouth -
Alvechurch -
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Blackpool -
Guiseley -
Sutton -
Stafford -
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Oxford City -
Leicester -
Bradford City -
Marine -
York City -
Northampton -
Altrincham -
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Boreham Wood -
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