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1º de Maio vs Serrano PE

Brazil Brazil

Pernambucano 2 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

1º de Maio play Serrano PE in the Pernambucano 2 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, 1º de Maio averaged 1 goals scored and 2.03 conceded. Serrano PE averaged 0.67 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. In past meetings, 1º de Maio won 3, Serrano PE won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Sep 10, 2022 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for 1º de Maio and 2.38 for Serrano PE. This points to a 1º de Maio double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
1º de Maio
26%
Draws
28%
Serrano PE
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: 1º de Maio

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • 1º de Maio picked up more points recently compared to Serrano PE.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 2.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
1º de Maio Clean Sheet 10%
Serrano PE Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1º de Maio Serrano PE
Matches Played 37 30
Wins 8 5
Draws 10 8
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 1 0.67
Goals Conceded 2.03 2.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2022 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
1:0
Sep 26, 2021 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
6:1
Sep 15, 2018 Pernambucano 2
1º de Maio vs Serrano PE
1:1
Sep 9, 2018 Pernambucano 2
Serrano PE vs 1º de Maio
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º de Maio 43 / 100
Serrano PE 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1º de Maio Serrano PE

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: 1º de Maio or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +21%
2.63
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

1º de Maio attacking → ← attacking Serrano PE

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º de Maio scored in 65% of their last 37 games.

Serrano PE let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

1º de Maio went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Serrano PE lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

34 Points in last 5 23
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1America PE63218:411
2Ibis Sport Club63217:311
3Ipojuca63216:311
4Atletico PE62227:58
5Ferroviario do Cabo62227:58
6Centro Limoeirense62137:67
7Cabense60154:201
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
11º de Maio633013:612
2Ypiranga632111:311
3Petrolina632112:511
4Caruaru632110:311
5Barreiros FC63129:410
6Pesqueira60153:161
7Serrano PE60152:231