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QLD State Team U17 vs Rochedale U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

NPL Queensland U23
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AI Match Summary

The NPL Queensland U23 game between QLD State Team U17 and Rochedale U23 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Rochedale U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
QLD State Team U17
15%
Draws
61%
Rochedale U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Rochedale U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Rochedale U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Rochedale U23 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
QLD State Team U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Rochedale U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric QLD State Team U17 Rochedale U23
Matches Played 22 24
Wins 8 18
Draws 1 2
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 2.09 2.75
Goals Conceded 2.59 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
QLD State Team U17 vs Rochedale U23
1:3
Mar 14, 2026 NPL Queensland U23
Rochedale U23 vs QLD State Team U17
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

QLD State Team U17 10 / 100
Rochedale U23 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
QLD State Team U17 Rochedale U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rochedale U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QLD State Team U17 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (22 games).

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Rochedale U23 let in goals in 63% of their last 24 matches.

Recent resilience: QLD State Team U17 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

QLD State Team U17 VS Rochedale U23
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

QLD State Team U17

(Home)
16 Aug
QLD State Team U17
3 : 4
Gold Coast Knights SC U23
08 Aug
Queensland Lions U23
2 : 1
QLD State Team U17
02 Aug
QLD State Team U17
4 : 3
Moreton City Excelsior U23
19 Jul
Olympic FC U23
1 : 2
QLD State Team U17
14 Jul
Moreton City Excelsior U23
1 : 0
QLD State Team U17
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Rochedale U23

(Away)
13 Sept
Rochedale U23
2 : 0
Moreton City Excelsior U23
28 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Moreton City Excelsior U23
16 Aug
Olympic FC U23
1 : 3
Rochedale U23
08 Aug
Magic United TFA FC U23
1 : 4
Rochedale U23
01 Aug
Rochedale U23
3 : 1
Eastern Suburbs U23
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rochedale U23 22 16 2 4 61:27 50
2 Moreton City Excelsior U23 22 14 2 6 60:31 44
3 Queensland Lions U23 22 13 5 4 52:24 44
4 Gold Coast Knights SC U23 22 14 1 7 58:39 43
5 Gold Coast U23 22 13 2 7 52:45 41
6 Eastern Suburbs U23 22 9 4 9 43:32 31
7 QLD State Team U17 22 8 1 13 46:57 25
8 Brisbane City U23 22 7 3 12 42:54 24
9 Olympic FC U23 22 7 2 13 35:55 23
10 Wynnum Wolves U23 22 6 3 13 29:52 21
11 Peninsula U23 22 6 2 14 36:57 20
12 Magic United TFA FC U23 22 5 1 16 27:68 16
Promotion - NPL Queensland U23 (Play Offs)