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San Martin T. vs Almagro

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio La Ciudadela
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

San Martin T. host Almagro in the Primera Nacional. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. San Martin T. have averaged 0.5 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against Almagro's 1.25 scored and 0.75 conceded. Past meetings favor San Martin T. slightly — 2-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 0.63 vs 1.19, favoring San Martin T.. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
San Martin T.
22%
Draws
60%
Almagro
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Almagro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Almagro at 1.25 per game, San Martin T. at 0.5.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Almagro taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
San Martin T. Clean Sheet 20%
Almagro Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric San Martin T. Almagro
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 8
Draws 12 9
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 0.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin T.
0:1
Jun 14, 2025 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Almagro
1:1
Feb 8, 2025 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin T.
0:0
Jul 23, 2023 Primera Nacional
Almagro vs San Martin T.
0:0
Mar 19, 2023 Primera Nacional
San Martin T. vs Almagro
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

San Martin T. 20 / 100
Almagro 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
San Martin T. Almagro

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Almagro let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

San Martin T. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

San Martin T. scored in 55% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 0.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

San Martin T. VS Almagro
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ferro19114422:1437
2Deportivo Moron19104527:1734
3Colon Santa Fe1988323:1532
4Ciudad Bolivar1979318:1330
5Los Andes1978416:729
6Almirante Brown1985614:1229
7Deportivo Madryn1977525:2028
8CA Estudiantes1976615:1627
9Godoy Cruz1967619:1725
10San Miguel19510417:2025
11Defensores de Belgrano1958614:1723
12Racing Cordoba1956817:2221
13San Telmo1948715:1820
14All Boys1948712:1920
15Central Norte1947812:1719
16Acassuso19541013:2019
17CA Mitre1939719:2418
18Chaco For Ever19271014:2513
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gimnasia Jujuy19114431:2137
2Atletico Atlanta19103624:1533
3Tristan Suarez1979316:1130
4Temperley1979319:1730
5Midland1976620:1527
6Atl. Rafaela1976614:1327
7San Martin T.1968516:1526
8Deportivo Maipu1974824:2025
9Nueva Chicago1867517:1625
10Almagro1974816:1925
11Quilmes1966718:1524
12Gimnasia y Tiro1966718:2024
13Colegiales1965818:1923
14San Martin S.J.1865718:1923
15Chacarita Juniors1964915:2022
16Patronato1949612:1621
17Club Atletico Guemes19541018:3219
18Agropecuario1946914:2418