Sport Picks

Stadium Background

1 de Mayo vs Central Union

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

1 de Mayo play Central Union in the Copa Simon Bolivar. 1 de Mayo are favorites here. Recently, 1 de Mayo averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. Central Union averaged 1 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, 1 de Mayo won 2, Central Union won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 21, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for 1 de Mayo and 0.94 for Central Union. This points to a 1 de Mayo double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
1 de Mayo
15%
Draws
29%
Central Union
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: 1 de Mayo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • 1 de Mayo picked up more points recently compared to Central Union.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.81 vs 0.94 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 24%
Central Union Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1 de Mayo Central Union
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.33 1
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Central Union
3:0
Sep 6, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Central Union vs 1 de Mayo
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1 de Mayo 55 / 100
Central Union 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1 de Mayo Central Union

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1 de Mayo Win (1)
Secondary Pick 1 de Mayo & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

1 de Mayo attacking → ← attacking Central Union

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1 de Mayo scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

Central Union let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

1 de Mayo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Central Union lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 32
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz650118:515
2Rio San Juan641111:613
3Fancesa621316:137
4C.A. Chocorosi60063:240
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
11 de Mayo650111:215
2CD Guadalajara63037:89
3Central Union62048:96
4Ingenieros62045:126
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Real Potosi632110:511
2Torre Fuerte63039:99
3Nueva Cliza62317:79
4Nacional Sucre61147:124
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1San Juan FC632112:511
2Olympic FC62319:39
3CD Ingenio62229:118
4Chaco FC60337:183
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Universitario de Sucre660026:518
2Deportivo Shalon620419:126
3Libertad FC62046:146
43 de Febrero62046:266
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Tiquipaya651018:516
2Municipal de Tarija631216:910
3Pucarani630311:69
4Universitario de Pando60066:310