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1 de Mayo vs Tiquipaya

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Simon Bolivar
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with 1 de Mayo advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
1 de Mayo
28%
Draws
50%
Tiquipaya
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Tiquipaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tiquipaya come out ahead of 1 de Mayo on wins alone.
  • Tiquipaya are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Tiquipaya arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor 1 de Mayo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
1 de Mayo Clean Sheet 10%
Tiquipaya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1 de Mayo Tiquipaya
Matches Played 18 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 0 10
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.88 3.13
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 8, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
Tiquipaya vs 1 de Mayo
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Copa Simon Bolivar
1 de Mayo vs Tiquipaya
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1 de Mayo 22 / 100
Tiquipaya 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1 de Mayo Tiquipaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIQ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1 de Mayo scored in 67% of their last 18 games.

Tiquipaya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

1 de Mayo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

1 de Mayo VS Tiquipaya
1.88 Goals Scored 3.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

1 de Mayo

(Home)
23 Nov
1 de Mayo
2 : 1
Real Potosi
16 Nov
Real Potosi
2 : 0
1 de Mayo
08 Nov
Tiquipaya
1 : 0
1 de Mayo
01 Nov
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
Tiquipaya
26 Oct
1 de Mayo
1 : 2
Torre Fuerte
Page 1 of 4

Tiquipaya

(Away)
08 Nov
Tiquipaya
1 : 0
1 de Mayo
01 Nov
1 de Mayo
2 : 0
Tiquipaya
25 Oct
Tiquipaya
4 : 1
CD Ingenio
11 Oct
CD Ingenio
3 : 3
Tiquipaya
28 Sept
Universitario de Pando
1 : 5
Tiquipaya
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Deportivo Shalon3
San Juan FC6
Nueva Cliza6
Municipal de Tarija1
Fancesa2
Universitario de Sucre7
Olympic FC1
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
CD Guadalajara2
Real Potosi4
Pucarani1
Rio San Juan2
CD Ingenio4
Tiquipaya7
Torre Fuerte3
1 de Mayo4
Quarter-finals
San Juan FC4
Nueva Cliza1
Universitario de Sucre4
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Real Potosi2
Rio San Juan0
Tiquipaya1
1 de Mayo2
Semi-finals
San Juan FC6
Universitario de Sucre3
Real Potosi3
1 de Mayo2
Final
San Juan FC1
Real Potosi5