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1º Dezembro vs Amora - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D Campo Conde de Sucena, Sintra
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Marques P.
66'
Marques P.
66'
Marques P.

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D game between 1º Dezembro and Amora finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
1º Dezembro
30%
Draws
23%
Amora
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 1º Dezembro

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Amora's 1.1 goals per match outpaces what 1º Dezembro have produced (0.9).
  • 1º Dezembro are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
1º Dezembro Clean Sheet 68%
Amora Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1º Dezembro Amora
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.9 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
1º Dezembro vs Amora
1:1
Apr 19, 2026 Liga 3
1º Dezembro vs Amora
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga 3
Amora vs 1º Dezembro
0:4
Dec 6, 2025 Liga 3
Amora vs 1º Dezembro
1:1
Aug 22, 2025 Liga 3
1º Dezembro vs Amora
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1º Dezembro Compare

Top Goalscorer Carreira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Amora Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º Dezembro 59 / 100
Amora 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1º Dezembro Amora

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º Dezembro Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Amora let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

1º Dezembro's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: 1º Dezembro stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1º Dezembro VS Amora
0.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

1º Dezembro

(Home)
31 Oct
Real SC
1 : 0
1º Dezembro
25 Oct
1º Dezembro
1 : 0
Vitoria Setubal
11 Oct
Lajense
0 : 1
1º Dezembro
13 Sept
1º Dezembro
1 : 1
Amora
06 Sept
Serpa
1 : 1
1º Dezembro
Page 1 of 6

Amora

(Away)
01 Nov
Amora
1 : 2
GD Alcochetense
25 Oct
Sintrense
2 : 1
Amora
11 Oct
Amora
1 : 1
Lagoa
27 Sept
Amora
1 : 0
Lajense
20 Sept
Amora
3 : 4
Uniao Da Serra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sintrense 7 5 1 1 15:6 16
2 Real SC 7 3 4 0 14:9 13
3 Juv. Evora 7 3 2 2 12:11 11
4 GD Alcochetense 7 3 2 2 12:10 11
5 Imortal 7 3 2 2 11:6 11
6 Serpa 7 2 4 1 11:9 10
7 Lajense 8 3 1 4 11:12 10
8 Santa Clara B 6 2 2 2 9:7 8
9 Amora 7 2 2 3 8:8 8
10 Vitoria Setubal 7 2 2 3 10:12 8
11 1º Dezembro 6 2 2 2 4:8 8
12 Lagoa 7 1 3 3 6:9 6
13 Portel 8 0 6 2 10:14 6
14 Aljustrelense 7 0 3 4 3:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Relegation Group 2026/2027 (Main)