Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga 3 Campo Conde de Sucena

1º Dezembro

1 - 1

Lusitano GC

Our Tip

Match Events

11'

Mane L.

44'

Lima P.

45'

Dias G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

1º Dezembro

39%

Draws

31%

Lusitano GC

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Lusitano GC have won more games recently than 1º Dezembro.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

1º Dezembro Clean Sheet 68%

Lusitano GC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	1º Dezembro	Lusitano GC
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	8	13
Draws	9	7
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	1.63	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 Liga 3

Lusitano GC vs 1º Dezembro

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 0 - 0

2:1

Feb 28, 2026 Liga 3

1º Dezembro vs Lusitano GC

Possession: 56% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Jan 24, 2026 Liga 3

1º Dezembro vs Lusitano GC

Possession: 52% - 48% Cards: 1 - 2

1:1

Nov 1, 2025 Liga 3

Lusitano GC vs 1º Dezembro

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Jun 4, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A

Lusitano GC vs 1º Dezembro

Possession: 54% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

1º Dezembro Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Lusitano GC Compare

Top Goalscorer Monteiro R.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1º Dezembro 41 / 100

Lusitano GC 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

1º Dezembro Lusitano GC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1º Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1º Dezembro scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Lusitano GC has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: 1º Dezembro remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

1º Dezembro VS Lusitano GC

1.5 Goals Scored 1.13

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13

100% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Vitoria Guimaraes B	18	8	5	5	20:16	29
2	Amarante FC	18	8	5	5	19:17	29
3	Trofense	18	7	7	4	23:15	28
4	Varzim	18	7	7	4	26:17	28
5	Paredes	18	6	9	3	22:12	27
6	Braga B	18	6	7	5	16:17	25
7	AD Fafe	18	6	6	6	23:21	24
8	AD Marco 09	18	4	7	7	15:22	19
9	Sao Joao de Ver	18	2	8	8	11:26	14
10	Sanjoanense	18	2	7	9	20:32	13

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CF Os Belenenses	18	12	2	4	27:16	38
2	Mafra	18	9	7	2	28:19	34
3	Academica	18	7	7	4	29:18	28
4	Santarem	18	6	7	5	15:14	25
5	Atletico CP	18	6	4	8	16:17	22
6	Lusitano GC	18	6	4	8	19:19	22
7	Amora	18	5	6	7	19:22	21
8	Caldas SC	18	6	3	9	17:23	21
9	1º Dezembro	18	3	8	7	13:21	17
10	Covilha	18	2	8	8	10:24	14