Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein

Bornheim

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

1. FC Duren play Bornheim in the Oberliga Mittelrhein. It looks like a close match. Recently, 1. FC Duren averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Bornheim averaged 2.16 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, 1. FC Duren won 1, Bornheim won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.69 for 1. FC Duren and 2.31 for Bornheim. This points to a Bornheim double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

1. FC Duren

15%

Draws

45%

Bornheim

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bornheim

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

1. FC Duren picked up more points recently compared to Bornheim.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.69 vs 2.31 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 73%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 73%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%

1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%

Bornheim Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	1. FC Duren	Bornheim
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	11	14
Draws	5	4
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	1.63	2.16
Goals Conceded	1.97	1.94
Expected Goals (xG)	2.00	2.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein

Bornheim vs 1. FC Duren

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 4 - 0

4:2

Nov 16, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein

1. FC Duren vs Bornheim

Possession: 44% - 43% Cards: 0 - 4

4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Duren 38 / 100

Bornheim 43 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

1. FC Duren Bornheim

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Bornheim or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.49

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

1. FC Duren attacking → ← attacking Bornheim

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Duren scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Bornheim let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

1. FC Duren went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Bornheim lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

38 Points in last 5 46

2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.75

1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Bergisch Gladbach	30	20	7	3	85:28	67
2	Eintracht Hohkeppel	30	20	4	6	86:36	64
3	Siegburger	30	19	5	6	75:34	62
4	Merten	30	18	6	6	80:28	60
5	VfL Vichttal	30	18	5	7	80:43	59
6	FC Wegberg-Beeck	30	15	6	9	62:35	51
7	Frechen	30	16	2	12	66:54	50
8	Bornheim	30	14	4	12	65:56	46
9	Konigsdorf	30	14	4	12	53:54	46
10	Fortuna Koln II	30	13	6	11	62:47	45
11	1. FC Duren	30	11	5	14	49:59	38
12	Hennef	30	11	2	17	45:66	35
13	SpVg Porz 1919	30	7	4	19	58:99	25
14	Teutonia Weiden	30	4	4	22	25:104	16
15	Sportfreunde Duren	30	4	2	24	41:103	14
16	Pesch	30	2	2	26	26:112	8