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1. FC Duren vs SpVg Porz 1919

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein 2025/2026 game between 1. FC Duren and SpVg Porz 1919 finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward 1. FC Duren.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
1. FC Duren
30%
Draws
39%
SpVg Porz 1919
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SpVg Porz 1919

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • 1. FC Duren carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans 1. FC Duren's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors 1. FC Duren here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
1. FC Duren Clean Sheet 10%
SpVg Porz 1919 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Duren SpVg Porz 1919
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 19
Goals Scored 1.5 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.97 3.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
1. FC Duren vs SpVg Porz 1919
5:2
Oct 26, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
SpVg Porz 1919 vs 1. FC Duren
1:2
Jul 24, 2021 Club Friendly
SpVg Porz 1919 vs 1. FC Duren
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Duren 34 / 100
SpVg Porz 1919 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Duren SpVg Porz 1919

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: SpVg Porz 1919 conceded in 90% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.67 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: 1. FC Duren scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: 1. FC Duren remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Duren VS SpVg Porz 1919
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 4.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

1. FC Duren

(Home)
25 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
1. FC Duren
20 Sept
1. FC Duren
1 : 2
Eintracht Hohkeppel
13 Sept
Bornheim
1 : 3
1. FC Duren
06 Sept
1. FC Duren
0 : 0
FC Hurth
28 Aug
VfL Vichttal
6 : 2
1. FC Duren
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SpVg Porz 1919

(Away)
27 Sept
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 1
SpVg Porz 1919
20 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 0
Bornheim
13 Sept
FC Hurth
2 : 0
SpVg Porz 1919
06 Sept
SpVg Porz 1919
2 : 2
VfL Vichttal
30 Aug
Lindenthal-Hohenlind
2 : 2
SpVg Porz 1919
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergisch Gladbach 30 20 7 3 85:28 67
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 30 20 4 6 86:36 64
3 Siegburger 30 19 5 6 75:34 62
4 Merten 30 18 6 6 80:28 60
5 VfL Vichttal 30 18 5 7 80:43 59
6 FC Wegberg-Beeck 30 15 6 9 62:35 51
7 Frechen 30 16 2 12 66:54 50
8 Bornheim 30 14 4 12 65:56 46
9 Konigsdorf 30 14 4 12 53:54 46
10 Fortuna Koln II 30 13 6 11 62:47 45
11 1. FC Duren 30 11 5 14 49:59 38
12 Hennef 30 11 2 17 45:66 35
13 SpVg Porz 1919 30 7 4 19 58:99 25
14 Teutonia Weiden 30 4 4 22 25:104 16
15 Sportfreunde Duren 30 4 2 24 41:103 14
16 Pesch 30 2 2 26 26:112 8
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