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1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Germany Germany

Bundesliga RheinEnergieStadion, Cologne
Sun, Nov 8, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

1. FC Koln host Bayer Leverkusen in the Bundesliga. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Bayer Leverkusen have shipped 1.3 goals a game lately, while 1. FC Koln have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.79. Head-to-head, 1. FC Koln have won 0 to Bayer Leverkusen's 5, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.56) back Bayer Leverkusen to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
1. FC Koln
20%
Draws
42%
Bayer Leverkusen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bayer Leverkusen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bayer Leverkusen come out ahead of 1. FC Koln on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans 1. FC Koln's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Bundesliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Bayer Leverkusen here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
1. FC Koln Clean Sheet 15%
Bayer Leverkusen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 1. FC Koln Bayer Leverkusen
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 8 20
Draws 10 3
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen
1:2
Dec 13, 2025 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln
2:0
Feb 5, 2025 DFB Pokal
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln
3:2
Mar 3, 2024 Bundesliga
1. FC Koln vs Bayer Leverkusen
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen vs 1. FC Koln
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

1. FC Koln 66 / 100
Bayer Leverkusen 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
1. FC Koln Bayer Leverkusen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 1. FC Koln Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

1. FC Koln found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Bayer Leverkusen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: 1. FC Koln stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

1. FC Koln VS Bayer Leverkusen
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

1. FC Koln

(Home)
27 Oct
1. FC Koln
5 : 0
Union Berlin
24 Oct
1. FC Koln
0 : 0
Schalke
16 Oct
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0
1. FC Koln
11 Oct
1. FC Koln
2 : 1
B. Monchengladbach
03 Oct
FC Viktoria Koln
2 : 2
1. FC Koln
Page 1 of 6

Bayer Leverkusen

(Away)
31 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 4
VfB Stuttgart
28 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
5 : 2
Nurnberg
25 Oct
Hoffenheim
3 : 0
Bayer Leverkusen
22 Oct
OFI Crete
0 : 2
Bayer Leverkusen
18 Oct
Bayer Leverkusen
2 : 1
Freiburg
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bayern Munich 7 5 2 0 25:6 17
2 Dortmund 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
3 Freiburg 7 4 1 2 16:9 13
4 Bayer Leverkusen 7 4 1 2 16:12 13
5 Elversberg 8 4 1 3 16:16 13
6 RB Leipzig 7 4 0 3 20:11 12
7 Werder Bremen 7 3 3 1 15:14 12
8 Mainz 8 3 1 4 17:17 10
9 Augsburg 7 2 3 2 17:13 9
10 Hoffenheim 7 3 0 4 14:14 9
11 Hamburger 7 3 0 4 6:16 9
12 1. FC Koln 7 2 2 3 8:11 8
13 Paderborn 7 2 2 3 6:9 8
14 Eintracht Frankfurt 7 2 2 3 10:17 8
15 VfB Stuttgart 7 2 0 5 10:13 6
16 Schalke 7 1 3 3 4:7 6
17 Union Berlin 7 1 3 3 6:18 6
18 B. Monchengladbach 7 1 0 6 11:22 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)