Sport Picks

Stadium Background

11 Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Malcolm K.
(Penalty)
48' Event
Gumero E.
Penalty Missed
58' Event
Rivas E.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2024/2025 game between 11 Deportivo and Luis Angel Firpo finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luis Angel Firpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
11 Deportivo
20%
Draws
64%
Luis Angel Firpo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luis Angel Firpo come out ahead of 11 Deportivo on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Luis Angel Firpo's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
11 Deportivo Clean Sheet 18%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 11 Deportivo Luis Angel Firpo
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 6 17
Draws 9 9
Losses 15 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2025 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:3
Feb 26, 2025 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs 11 Deportivo
4:1
Dec 8, 2024 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs 11 Deportivo
1:1
Dec 5, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo
2:1
Oct 27, 2024 Primera Division
11 Deportivo vs Luis Angel Firpo
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

11 Deportivo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivas E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Garcia V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

11 Deportivo 15 / 100
Luis Angel Firpo 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
11 Deportivo Luis Angel Firpo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luis Angel Firpo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

11 Deportivo's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Luis Angel Firpo conceded in 63% of 35 recent games.

Difficult form: Luis Angel Firpo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Luis Angel Firpo
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

11 Deportivo

(Home)
03 May
11 Deportivo
0 : 2
Alianza FC
26 Apr
Aguila
3 : 1
11 Deportivo
24 Apr
11 Deportivo
1 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
17 Apr
11 Deportivo
2 : 2
FAS
13 Apr
11 Deportivo
0 : 1
Dragon
Page 1 of 6

Luis Angel Firpo

(Away)
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
18 Sept
Olimpia
3 : 0
Luis Angel Firpo
13 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 2
Metapan
11 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 3
Olimpia
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguila 20 13 4 3 37:17 43
2 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 6 3 34:16 39
3 Alianza FC 20 12 3 5 28:11 39
4 Metapan 20 9 8 3 22:13 35
5 Municipal Limeno 20 6 9 5 21:20 27
6 Cacahuatique 20 6 9 5 18:24 27
7 Fuerte San Francisco 20 6 6 8 15:20 24
8 FAS 20 5 7 8 17:23 22
9 Platense Municipal 20 5 5 10 18:25 20
10 Dragon 20 4 2 14 17:30 14
11 11 Deportivo 20 1 5 14 12:40 8
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)