Sport Picks
Match Events
10'
10'
Fernandez D.
Assist: Romero N.
17'
17'
Ruiz Diaz R.
27'
27'
Romero N.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guarani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- 2 de Mayo carry the better recent record into this one.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Guarani taking it.
- 2 de Mayo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 24%
Guarani Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Guarani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.34 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
0:0
Apr 26, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
2:2
Mar 25, 2026 Copa de Primera
Guarani vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Nov 5, 2025 Copa Paraguay
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0
Sep 12, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Guarani
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
2 de Mayo Compare
Top Goalscorer Caceres Aguero F. M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Acosta D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Guarani Compare
Top Goalscorer Fernandez D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Coronel P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
2 de Mayo 10 / 100
Guarani 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
2 de Mayo Guarani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guarani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: 2 de Mayo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Guarani has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
2 de Mayo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
2 de Mayo VS Guarani
1.5 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
2 de Mayo
(Home) 22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4 Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2 2 de Mayo
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
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22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4 Sol de America
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
08 Aug
2 de Mayo
1 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
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Guarani
(Away) 18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
12 Sept
Guarani
1 : 1 Cerro Porteno
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
30 Aug
Guarani
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
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18 Sept
Sportivo Trinidense
0 : 1 Guarani
02 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Guarani
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
12 Aug
Sportivo Iteno
2 : 1 Guarani
09 Aug
Nacional Asuncion
0 : 0 Guarani
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
