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Stadium Background

2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

2 de Mayo play Nacional Asuncion in the Copa de Primera. It looks like a close match. Recently, 2 de Mayo averaged 0.93 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Nacional Asuncion averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, 2 de Mayo won 1, Nacional Asuncion won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 31, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.06 for 2 de Mayo and 1.81 for Nacional Asuncion. This points to a Nacional Asuncion double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
2 de Mayo
35%
Draws
40%
Nacional Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nacional Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo picked up more points recently compared to Nacional Asuncion.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.06 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 11%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 65%
Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Nacional Asuncion
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 13
Draws 10 11
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
5:1
Oct 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Apr 6, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

2 de Mayo Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nacional Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Bailone I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 25 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Nacional Asuncion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Nacional Asuncion or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

2 de Mayo attacking → ← attacking Nacional Asuncion

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

2 de Mayo scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Nacional Asuncion let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

2 de Mayo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Nacional Asuncion lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

31 Points in last 5 50
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olimpia Asuncion22154337:1749
2Nacional Asuncion22109331:2239
3Cerro Porteno22115630:2238
4Sportivo Ameliano2289527:2133
5Sportivo Trinidense2288630:2432
6Libertad Asuncion2294934:2631
7Guarani2278727:2329
8Recoleta22841035:3228
9Rubio Nu22651115:2623
102 de Mayo22571018:3522
11Sp. Luqueno22551224:3320
12San Lorenzo22361314:4115