Sport Picks
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero 
Match Events
29'
29'
Gutierrez T.
38'
38'
Alfonso E.
(Penalty)
61'
61'
Sub
Ramirez Antunez R. C. In: Santacruz J.
Out: Ramirez Antunez R. C.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
30%
47%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Nacional Asuncion
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- 2 de Mayo haven't matched Nacional Asuncion's recent run of results.
- Model gives Nacional Asuncion a 47% chance of winning this.
- Nacional Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor 2 de Mayo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 12%
Nacional Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 2 de Mayo | Nacional Asuncion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 9 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 0.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Mar 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:1
Jan 31, 2026 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
5:1
Oct 17, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Nacional Asuncion
1:0
Aug 2, 2025 Copa de Primera
Nacional Asuncion vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
2 de Mayo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Nacional Asuncion Compare
Top Goalscorer Bailone I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
2 de Mayo 10 / 100
Nacional Asuncion 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
2 de Mayo Nacional Asuncion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Nacional Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: 2 de Mayo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.
Nacional Asuncion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.
2 de Mayo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
2 de Mayo VS Nacional Asuncion
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
2 de Mayo
(Home) 05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2 2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2 2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4 Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4 Sol de America
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
25 Aug
2 de Mayo
0 : 0 Guarani
08 Aug
2 de Mayo
1 : 0 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Nacional Asuncion
(Away) 06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1 Sportivo Ameliano
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0 2 de Mayo
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1 Nacional Asuncion
07 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0 Nacional Asuncion
28 Aug
San Lorenzo
0 : 3 Nacional Asuncion
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
