Sport Picks

Stadium Background

2 de Mayo vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. 2 de Mayo have averaged 1.13 scored and 1.37 conceded recently, against Recoleta's 1.44 scored and 1.74 conceded. Past meetings favor Recoleta slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 14, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.19 - 1.38) back 2 de Mayo to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
2 de Mayo
20%
Draws
40%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Recoleta a 40% chance of winning this.
  • 2 de Mayo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Recoleta, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Recoleta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 17%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Recoleta
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.13 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.74
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs 2 de Mayo
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs 2 de Mayo
5:0
Feb 20, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Recoleta
0:1
Nov 21, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Recoleta
0:2
Aug 30, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs 2 de Mayo
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 28 / 100
Recoleta 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Recoleta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recoleta has conceded goals in 82% of their last 34 outings.

2 de Mayo scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Recoleta's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS Recoleta
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

2 de Mayo

(Home)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Recoleta

(Away)
05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0
Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
2 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
3 Olimpia Asuncion 12 8 1 3 21:9 25
4 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
5 Nacional Asuncion 12 6 4 2 19:7 22
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 12 4 6 2 14:13 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)