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2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
2 de Mayo Logo

2 de Mayo

2 - 2
FT
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Muro T.
Assist: Maggi I.
21'
Gomez M.
30'
Sub
Silvero F. In: Caceres Aguero F. M.
Out: Silvero F.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. The second leg ended 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
2 de Mayo
15%
Draws
51%
Sp. Luqueno
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sp. Luqueno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • 2 de Mayo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • 2 de Mayo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 18%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Sp. Luqueno
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.14 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo
0:2
Jan 23, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Oct 3, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs 2 de Mayo
0:3
Jul 25, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sp. Luqueno
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

2 de Mayo Compare

Top Goalscorer Caceres Aguero F. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Moya M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Top Goalscorer Muro T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 32 / 100
Sp. Luqueno 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Sp. Luqueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sp. Luqueno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sp. Luqueno conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

2 de Mayo found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Sp. Luqueno's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS Sp. Luqueno
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

2 de Mayo

(Home)
05 Oct
Cerro Porteno
0 : 2
2 de Mayo
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

Sp. Luqueno

(Away)
05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 13 8 2 3 22:10 26
2 Libertad Asuncion 13 8 2 3 21:14 26
3 2 de Mayo 13 7 4 2 16:13 25
4 Nacional Asuncion 13 6 5 2 20:8 23
5 Sportivo Trinidense 13 7 2 4 23:13 23
6 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
7 Sportivo Ameliano 13 4 6 3 15:15 18
8 Cerro Porteno 13 5 2 6 15:14 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 13 4 1 8 14:24 13
10 Rubio Nu 13 3 3 7 15:24 12
11 Recoleta 13 2 2 9 14:26 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)