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2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Río Parapití, Pedro Juan Caballero
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. Sportivo Ameliano have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while 2 de Mayo have conceded 1.41 and scored 1.1. Head-to-head, 2 de Mayo have won 1 to Sportivo Ameliano's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.19 - 1.44) back 2 de Mayo to edge this. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
2 de Mayo
30%
Draws
47%
Sportivo Ameliano
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sportivo Ameliano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and 2 de Mayo come out ahead of Sportivo Ameliano on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Sportivo Ameliano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • 2 de Mayo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Sportivo Ameliano, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
2 de Mayo Clean Sheet 16%
Sportivo Ameliano Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 2 de Mayo Sportivo Ameliano
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 9
Draws 9 13
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.1 1.18
Goals Conceded 1.41 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
1:1
Apr 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:2
Feb 14, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
3:0
Nov 10, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sportivo Ameliano vs 2 de Mayo
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Copa de Primera
2 de Mayo vs Sportivo Ameliano
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

2 de Mayo 10 / 100
Sportivo Ameliano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
2 de Mayo Sportivo Ameliano

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Ameliano Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sportivo Ameliano let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: 2 de Mayo scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

2 de Mayo has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

2 de Mayo VS Sportivo Ameliano
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

2 de Mayo

(Home)
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
22 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 4
Sol de America
18 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
2 de Mayo
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
05 Sept
San Lorenzo
1 : 2
2 de Mayo
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Ameliano

(Away)
25 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
1 : 0
San Lorenzo
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
02 Sept
Sportivo Ameliano
0 : 3
Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 12 8 1 3 21:9 25
2 Libertad Asuncion 12 7 2 3 19:13 23
3 Nacional Asuncion 12 6 4 2 19:7 22
4 2 de Mayo 12 6 4 2 14:13 22
5 Guarani 13 5 6 2 14:10 21
6 Sportivo Trinidense 12 6 2 4 20:11 20
7 Sportivo Ameliano 12 4 6 2 14:13 18
8 Cerro Porteno 12 5 2 5 15:12 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 12 4 1 7 12:21 13
10 Rubio Nu 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
11 Recoleta 12 2 2 8 13:24 8
12 San Lorenzo 13 0 3 10 4:22 3
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)