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24 de Septiembre vs Real Mapajo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2023 game between 24 de Septiembre and Real Mapajo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
24 de Septiembre
30%
Draws
16%
Real Mapajo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: 24 de Septiembre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Mapajo haven't matched 24 de Septiembre's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans 24 de Septiembre's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 91.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
24 de Septiembre Clean Sheet 20%
Real Mapajo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 24 de Septiembre Real Mapajo
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 12 0
Draws 10 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.93 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.53 3.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.96 1.17
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mapajo vs 24 de Septiembre
1:2
Sep 30, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Real Mapajo
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

24 de Septiembre 85 / 100
Real Mapajo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
24 de Septiembre Real Mapajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 24 de Septiembre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

24 de Septiembre's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Real Mapajo has conceded goals in 93% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

24 de Septiembre has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

24 de Septiembre VS Real Mapajo
1.75 Goals Scored 0.83
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.17
100% Over 1.5 83%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

24 de Septiembre

(Home)
24 Nov
24 de Septiembre
1 : 3
Torre Fuerte
18 Nov
Torre Fuerte
1 : 1
24 de Septiembre
10 Nov
24 de Septiembre
3 : 1
Universitario Beni
04 Nov
Universitario Beni
2 : 1
24 de Septiembre
22 Oct
Real Mapajo
1 : 2
24 de Septiembre
Page 1 of 6

Real Mapajo

(Away)
28 Oct
Universitario Beni
3 : 1
Real Mapajo
22 Oct
Real Mapajo
1 : 2
24 de Septiembre
07 Oct
Real Mapajo
0 : 0
Universitario Beni
30 Sept
24 de Septiembre
1 : 1
Real Mapajo
01 Jul
Universitario de Pando
5 : 2
Real Mapajo
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Potosi 4 3 0 1 7:1 9
2 Nacional Sucre 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
3 Hiska Nacional 4 1 0 3 3:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Mizque 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Universitario de Pando 4 2 1 1 5:7 7
3 Stormers SL 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 GV San Jose 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
2 Real Oruro 4 2 1 1 4:3 7
3 Municipalidad de Yacuiba 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Torre Fuerte 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
2 Pasion Celeste 4 2 0 2 7:8 6
3 Fancesa 4 1 1 2 8:8 4
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 4 3 0 1 20:2 9
2 Atletico Bermejo 4 3 0 1 9:5 9
3 San Lorenzo del Beni 4 0 0 4 3:25 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Municipal de Tarija 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Fatic 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
3 Sur-Car 4 0 1 3 5:14 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 24 de Septiembre 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
2 Universitario Beni 4 2 1 1 6:6 7
3 Real Mapajo 4 0 2 2 3:6 2
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz 4 3 1 0 9:2 10
2 Deportivo Aleman 4 1 2 1 9:8 5
3 Academia del Balompie 4 0 1 3 4:12 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2023 (Play Offs)