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24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Torre Fuerte in this Nacional B 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Torre Fuerte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
24 de Septiembre
22%
Draws
18%
Torre Fuerte
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: 24 de Septiembre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Torre Fuerte have won more games recently than 24 de Septiembre.
  • Win probability leans 24 de Septiembre's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Torre Fuerte have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
24 de Septiembre Clean Sheet 11%
Torre Fuerte Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 24 de Septiembre Torre Fuerte
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 12 14
Draws 10 3
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.5 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 24, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte
1:3
Nov 18, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre
1:1
Jul 9, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
Torre Fuerte vs 24 de Septiembre
3:0
Jun 12, 2023 Copa Simon Bolivar
24 de Septiembre vs Torre Fuerte
1:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

24 de Septiembre 56 / 100
Torre Fuerte 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
24 de Septiembre Torre Fuerte

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 24S Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 24 de Septiembre scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Defensive concern: Torre Fuerte conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

Solid form: 24 de Septiembre remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

24 de Septiembre VS Torre Fuerte
2 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
83% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Fatic2
Real Mizque3
Universitario de Pando1
GV San Jose5
Universitario Beni3
24 de Septiembre4
Pasion Celeste2
Torre Fuerte5
Real Oruro2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Nacional Sucre1
Municipal de Tarija5
Atletico Bermejo2
Real Potosi3
Deportivo Aleman0
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz7
Quarter-finals
Real Mizque2
GV San Jose8
24 de Septiembre2
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo3
Municipal de Tarija2
Real Potosi2
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz3
Semi-finals
GV San Jose9
Torre Fuerte4
San Antonio Bulo Bulo6
Ciudad Nueva Santa Cruz4
Final
GV San Jose2
San Antonio Bulo Bulo1