Sport Picks

Stadium Background

3 de Noviembre vs Independiente FBC

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia Estadio Facundo De León Fossatti, Villa Hayes
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Prieto A.
28' Event
Arce F. A.
43' Event
Trinidad J.

AI Match Summary

3 de Noviembre in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored 3 de Noviembre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
3 de Noviembre
20%
Draws
40%
Independiente FBC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Independiente FBC have won more games recently than 3 de Noviembre.
  • 3 de Noviembre are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Division Intermedia form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
3 de Noviembre Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 3 de Noviembre Independiente FBC
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 11
Losses 13 7
Goals Scored 1.22 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division Intermedia
3 de Noviembre vs Independiente FBC
5:2
May 9, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs 3 de Noviembre
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

3 de Noviembre Compare

Top Goalscorer Prieto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Arce F. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Independiente FBC Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarquis E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

3 de Noviembre 95 / 100
Independiente FBC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
3 de Noviembre Independiente FBC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 3 de Noviembre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: 3 de Noviembre scored in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Independiente FBC let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

3 de Noviembre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

3 de Noviembre VS Independiente FBC
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

3 de Noviembre

(Home)
25 Sept
General Caballero JLM
1 : 3
3 de Noviembre
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1
Guairena FC
12 Sept
Resistencia
1 : 2
3 de Noviembre
08 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 0
Sol de America
03 Sept
Deportivo Capiata
4 : 3
3 de Noviembre
Page 1 of 6

Independiente FBC

(Away)
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4
Independiente FBC
14 Sept
Independiente FBC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2
Independiente FBC
04 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 0
Fernando de la Mora
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 26 16 3 7 45:25 51
2 General Caballero JLM 26 15 5 6 52:33 50
3 12 de Junio 26 14 7 5 35:26 49
4 Benjamin Aceval 26 12 6 8 40:32 42
5 Sol de America 26 9 13 4 32:24 40
6 Sportivo Carapegua 26 11 5 10 31:38 38
7 Independiente FBC 26 9 10 7 37:33 37
8 Paraguari AC 26 10 5 11 35:35 35
9 Fernando de la Mora 26 9 7 10 30:35 34
10 Atletico Tembetary 26 9 6 11 36:40 33
11 Resistencia 26 8 8 10 28:32 32
12 Deportivo Capiata 26 6 10 10 30:36 28
13 3 de Noviembre 26 6 8 12 33:39 26
14 Guairena FC 26 6 7 13 22:35 25
15 Tacuary 26 4 12 10 28:40 24
16 Encarnacion FC 26 6 4 16 25:36 22
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)