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Stadium Background

52 Orduspor vs Fatsa Bld.

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 19 Eylul Stadyumu, Ordu
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Nalbantoglu E.
Assist: Erdem Y.
22' Event
Gemici E.
Assist: Nalbantoglu E.
45' Event
Erdem G.
Assist: Basravi Y.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with 52 Orduspor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
52 Orduspor
20%
Draws
29%
Fatsa Bld.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 52 Orduspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • 52 Orduspor carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52 Orduspor are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • 52 Orduspor have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fatsa Bld., who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
52 Orduspor Clean Sheet 16%
Fatsa Bld. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 52 Orduspor Fatsa Bld.
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 20 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2 1.39
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
52 Orduspor vs Fatsa Bld.
4:1
Apr 24, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Fatsa Bld. vs 52 Orduspor
1:3
Mar 8, 2026 3. Lig Group 3
Fatsa Bld. vs 52 Orduspor
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
52 Orduspor vs Fatsa Bld.
0:1
Sep 10, 2019 Turkish Cup
52 Orduspor vs Fatsa Bld.
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

52 Orduspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalbantoglu E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gemici E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Fatsa Bld. Compare

Top Goalscorer Elmali K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

52 Orduspor 66 / 100
Fatsa Bld. 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
52 Orduspor Fatsa Bld.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 52 Orduspor Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: 52 Orduspor scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

Fatsa Bld. has conceded goals in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

52 Orduspor has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

52 Orduspor VS Fatsa Bld.
2.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

52 Orduspor

(Home)
26 Sept
52 Orduspor
0 : 1
K. Istklalspor
19 Sept
Adana 01
3 : 2
52 Orduspor
13 Sept
52 Orduspor
1 : 0
Trabzon FK
06 Sept
Fethiyespor
0 : 3
52 Orduspor
17 May
Ayvalikgucu
1 : 2
52 Orduspor
Page 1 of 7

Fatsa Bld.

(Away)
19 Sept
Silivrispor
0 : 2
Fatsa Bld.
12 Sept
Fatsa Bld.
1 : 1
Amasyaspor
06 Sept
Karadeniz Eregli
1 : 1
Fatsa Bld.
28 Apr
52 Orduspor
4 : 1
Fatsa Bld.
24 Apr
Fatsa Bld.
1 : 3
52 Orduspor
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Corluspor 4
Bursa Yildirimspor 3
Kucukcekmece 2
Etimesgut 1
Erciyes 38 3
Mazidagi 1
Silifke 2
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 7
Fatsa Bld. 2
Karadeniz Eregli 0
Yozgat 4
Eskisehirspor 4
Balikesirspor 2
Karsiyaka 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Semi-finals
Corluspor 4
Kucukcekmece 2
Erciyes 38 3
Malatya 4
52 Orduspor 2
Yozgat 1
Eskisehirspor 0
Ayvalikgucu 2
Final
Corluspor 1
Malatya 0
52 Orduspor 2
Ayvalikgucu 1