Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Tue, Sep 29, 2026
VS
09:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Aguila host Inter Santa Tecla in the Primera Division. This one's hard to separate. Aguila have averaged 1.55 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Inter Santa Tecla's 1.41 scored and 1.07 conceded. Head-to-head, Aguila have won 2 to Inter Santa Tecla's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.44) point toward Inter Santa Tecla. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Aguila
35%
Draws
27%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Aguila have won more games recently than Inter Santa Tecla.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Aguila Clean Sheet 16%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 14 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 1.55 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
3:0
Sep 4, 2025 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 30 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Aguila stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Aguila found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (31 games).

Inter Santa Tecla let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.40 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Inter Santa Tecla
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
12 Sept
Aguila
3 : 1
Inca Aruba
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Aguila
2 : 2
Alianza FC
30 Aug
Aguila
4 : 1
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 7

Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
19 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Metapan
17 Sept
Inter Santa Tecla
2 : 2
FAS
13 Sept
Cacahuatique
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
06 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 0
Inter Santa Tecla
29 Aug
Platense Municipal
0 : 3
Inter Santa Tecla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Metapan 12 7 2 3 17:10 23
2 Luis Angel Firpo 11 6 3 2 18:7 21
3 Inter Santa Tecla 12 5 6 1 17:9 21
4 FAS 10 6 2 2 18:9 20
5 Municipal Limeno 11 5 2 4 16:12 17
6 Aguila 12 3 5 4 16:16 14
7 Alianza FC 9 3 4 2 14:13 13
8 Atletico Balboa 12 3 4 5 13:17 13
9 Platense Municipal 11 3 3 5 12:16 12
10 Inca Aruba 11 3 2 6 8:20 11
11 Cacahuatique 12 1 5 6 11:20 8
12 Fuerte San Francisco 11 1 4 6 8:19 7
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)