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Stadium Background

Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

69' Event
Cruz E.
88' Event
Ceren D.
90' Event
Granitto T.

AI Match Summary

Aguila in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Aguila.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Aguila
35%
Draws
25%
Inter Santa Tecla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Aguila have won more games recently than Inter Santa Tecla.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Primera Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Aguila Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aguila Inter Santa Tecla
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 12 10
Draws 9 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.66 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.04
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
2:1
Jul 31, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:0
Apr 19, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
0:1
Feb 22, 2026 Primera Division
Inter Santa Tecla vs Aguila
0:1
Nov 5, 2025 Primera Division
Aguila vs Inter Santa Tecla
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aguila Compare

Top Goalscorer Cruz E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Granitto T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Inter Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Ceren D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aguila 41 / 100
Inter Santa Tecla 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aguila Inter Santa Tecla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aguila Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aguila's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Inter Santa Tecla conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Solid form: Aguila remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Aguila VS Inter Santa Tecla
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Aguila

(Home)
12 Nov
Aguila
1 : 1
Municipal Limeno
08 Nov
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Aguila
01 Nov
Fuerte San Francisco
3 : 4
Aguila
24 Oct
Aguila
3 : 1
FAS
18 Oct
Atletico Balboa
2 : 2
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

Inter Santa Tecla

(Away)
12 Nov
FAS
2 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
08 Nov
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
31 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
0 : 0
Platense Municipal
24 Oct
Inca Aruba
0 : 2
Inter Santa Tecla
17 Oct
Inter Santa Tecla
1 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 20 11 7 2 35:15 40
2 Metapan 20 10 5 5 27:21 35
3 FAS 20 9 7 4 33:23 34
4 Aguila 20 8 7 5 37:28 31
5 Inter Santa Tecla 20 6 10 4 27:20 28
6 Platense Municipal 20 7 6 7 26:24 27
7 Alianza FC 20 6 8 6 26:27 26
8 Municipal Limeno 21 6 6 9 32:33 24
9 Atletico Balboa 20 6 5 9 25:32 23
10 Cacahuatique 20 4 8 8 22:30 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 21 3 8 10 21:36 17
12 Inca Aruba 20 4 5 11 15:37 17
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)