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7 de Abril vs Belford Roxo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B2
Our Tip

Match Events

75' Event
de Conceicao Alves J. P.
90' Event
Hudson
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B2 game between 7 de Abril and Belford Roxo finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Belford Roxo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
7 de Abril
20%
Draws
38%
Belford Roxo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 7 de Abril

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Belford Roxo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca B2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
7 de Abril Clean Sheet 18%
Belford Roxo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 7 de Abril Belford Roxo
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 11
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.27 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Belford Roxo
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 Carioca B2
7 de Abril vs Belford Roxo
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

7 de Abril Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Belford Roxo Compare

Top Goalscorer de Conceicao Alves J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

7 de Abril 32 / 100
Belford Roxo 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
7 de Abril Belford Roxo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

7 de Abril's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: 7 de Abril stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Belford Roxo let in goals in 56% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

7 de Abril VS Belford Roxo
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

7 de Abril

(Home)
06 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 2
Belford Roxo
02 Oct
7 de Abril
1 : 2
Friburguense
27 Sept
Campos AA
1 : 2
7 de Abril
21 Sept
7 de Abril
1 : 0
Paraty
14 Sept
Barra Mansa
1 : 4
7 de Abril
Page 1 of 6

Belford Roxo

(Away)
06 Oct
7 de Abril
0 : 2
Belford Roxo
01 Oct
Belford Roxo
3 : 0
Santa Cruz RJ
27 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
20 Sept
Belford Roxo
1 : 2
Cardoso Moreira
13 Sept
Campos AA
2 : 2
Belford Roxo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Friburguense 7 5 2 0 12:4 17
2 Serra Macaense 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
3 Cardoso Moreira 7 4 1 2 9:5 13
4 Belford Roxo 7 3 3 1 14:6 12
5 Santa Cruz RJ 7 4 0 3 9:8 12
6 Paduano EC 7 3 2 2 9:6 11
7 FC Rio de Janeiro 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
8 7 de Abril 7 3 1 3 10:10 10
9 Campos AA 7 2 3 2 11:11 9
10 Barra Mansa 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
11 Buzios 7 1 0 6 5:18 3
12 Paraty 7 0 0 7 4:21 0
Promotion - Carioca B2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca C 2027 (Main)