Sport Picks

Stadium Background

9 de Julio Rafaela vs El Linqueno

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal El Coloso, Rafaela
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Troncoso L.
40' Event
Troncoso L.
45' Event
Mc Cormick A.

AI Match Summary

9 de Julio Rafaela in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
9 de Julio Rafaela
20%
Draws
38%
El Linqueno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: 9 de Julio Rafaela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to 9 de Julio Rafaela lately — more wins on the board than El Linqueno.
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 20%
El Linqueno Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 9 de Julio Rafaela El Linqueno
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.38 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs El Linqueno
3:2
Apr 19, 2026 Torneo Federal
El Linqueno vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:3
Jul 6, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs El Linqueno
1:1
May 4, 2025 Torneo Federal
El Linqueno vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:1
Jun 30, 2024 Torneo Federal
El Linqueno vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

9 de Julio Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Troncoso L.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

El Linqueno Compare

Top Goalscorer Mc Cormick A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

9 de Julio Rafaela 42 / 100
El Linqueno 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
9 de Julio Rafaela El Linqueno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

9 de Julio Rafaela found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

El Linqueno has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

9 de Julio Rafaela went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

9 de Julio Rafaela VS El Linqueno
1.38 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

9 de Julio Rafaela

(Home)
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
05 Jul
Gimnasia E.R.
3 : 0
9 de Julio Rafaela
28 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
2 : 1
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2
El Linqueno
13 Jun
Atletico Escobar
2 : 0
9 de Julio Rafaela
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El Linqueno

(Away)
12 Jul
El Linqueno
2 : 1
Independiente Chivilcoy
05 Jul
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0
El Linqueno
28 Jun
El Linqueno
1 : 1
Sportivo Belgrano
22 Jun
9 de Julio Rafaela
3 : 2
El Linqueno
14 Jun
El Linqueno
2 : 0
Douglas Haig
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)