Sport Picks
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy Prediction & H2H Stats
Argentina
Torneo Federal El Coloso, Rafaela 
Match Events
17'
17'
Larrea L.
18'
18'
Salcedo A.
29'
29'
Salvaggio M.
AI Match Summary
9 de Julio Rafaela in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored 9 de Julio Rafaela.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
20%
47%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- 9 de Julio Rafaela have won more games recently than Gimnasia Chivilcoy.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on 9 de Julio Rafaela taking it.
- Regular Torneo Federal form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors 9 de Julio Rafaela here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 20%
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | 9 de Julio Rafaela | Gimnasia Chivilcoy |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.43 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 0.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 12, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:0
Jun 28, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2:1
Apr 26, 2026 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:0
Nov 16, 2025 Torneo Federal
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
9 de Julio Rafaela Compare
Top Goalscorer Larrea L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Gimnasia Chivilcoy Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
9 de Julio Rafaela 42 / 100
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
9 de Julio Rafaela Gimnasia Chivilcoy
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: 9 de Julio Rafaela scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
9 de Julio Rafaela has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 47% of 32 matches.
Scoring Trends
9 de Julio Rafaela VS Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
9 de Julio Rafaela
(Home) 20 Sept
Sol de America
1 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
06 Sept
Sarmiento de La Banda
1 : 4 9 de Julio Rafaela
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
23 Aug
San Martin Formosa
2 : 1 9 de Julio Rafaela
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 1 Bartolome Mitre
30 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
12 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
02 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
0 : 0 Douglas Haig
13 Jul
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 2 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
Page 1 of 3
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
(Away) 27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
11 Sept
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
2 : 0 Sol de America
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
30 Aug
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1 : 0 Sarmiento de La Banda
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
20 Sept
Douglas Haig
0 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
06 Sept
Bartolome Mitre
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
23 Aug
Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo
0 : 1 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
12 Aug
9 de Julio Rafaela
1 : 0 Gimnasia Chivilcoy
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Martin Formosa | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 17 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Chivilcoy | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 6:2 | 15 |
| 3 | Sol de America | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 9:7 | 14 |
| 4 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 6:3 | 13 |
| 5 | Douglas Haig | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 6 | 9 de Julio Rafaela | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 12 |
| 7 | Bartolome Mitre | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:10 | 5 |
| 8 | Sarmiento de La Banda | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:14 | 5 |
| 9 | Sportivo Belgrano | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3:14 | 5 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alvarado | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Cipolletti | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 15 |
| 3 | Olimpo Bahia Blanca | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 4 | Biblioteca Atenas | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:10 | 13 |
| 5 | Kimberley | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 11 |
| 6 | Argentino MM | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:7 | 11 |
| 7 | Villa Mitre | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 5:4 | 10 |
| 8 | Huracan Las Heras | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 3:8 | 7 |
| 9 | Juventud Antoniana | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1:12 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Play Offs)
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Promotion - Play Offs)
