Sport Picks

Stadium Background

9 de Julio Rafaela vs Independiente Chivilcoy

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal El Coloso
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Troncoso L.
29' Event
Del Sole N.
(Penalty)
33'
Matera S.

AI Match Summary

9 de Julio Rafaela in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored 9 de Julio Rafaela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
9 de Julio Rafaela
28%
Draws
22%
Independiente Chivilcoy
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: 9 de Julio Rafaela

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to 9 de Julio Rafaela lately — more wins on the board than Independiente Chivilcoy.
  • 9 de Julio Rafaela are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
9 de Julio Rafaela Clean Sheet 68%
Independiente Chivilcoy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric 9 de Julio Rafaela Independiente Chivilcoy
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 7
Draws 8 10
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2:2
Mar 29, 2026 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Independiente Chivilcoy
3:2
Jul 20, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
1:1
Jun 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
Independiente Chivilcoy vs 9 de Julio Rafaela
2:0
Apr 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
9 de Julio Rafaela vs Independiente Chivilcoy
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

9 de Julio Rafaela Compare

Top Goalscorer Troncoso L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonilla T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Independiente Chivilcoy Compare

Top Goalscorer Aman Campos F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Benitez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

9 de Julio Rafaela 59 / 100
Independiente Chivilcoy 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
9 de Julio Rafaela Independiente Chivilcoy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick 9DE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

9 de Julio Rafaela scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Independiente Chivilcoy has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Independiente Chivilcoy registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

9 de Julio Rafaela VS Independiente Chivilcoy
1.38 Goals Scored 0.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sportivo Belgrano1778219:729
2Douglas Haig1784520:1428
3Gimnasia Chivilcoy1775515:1026
4Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo1775522:1826
59 de Julio Rafaela1774627:2525
6Sportivo Las Parejas1758411:1223
7Atletico Escobar1763819:2721
8Independiente Chivilcoy1746714:2118
9Gimnasia E.R.1745812:1717
10El Linqueno1744913:2116
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1San Martin Formosa1583424:1927
2Bartolome Mitre1575313:626
3Sol de America1582518:1226
4Sarmiento de La Banda1573516:1424
5Juventud Antoniana1564516:1122
6Defensores de Vilelas1661921:2619
7Boca Unidos1553719:2218
8Tucuman Central1551913:1816
9Sarmiento Resistencia1526710:2212
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cipolletti1674519:1525
2Argentino MM1557315:1122
3Biblioteca Atenas1564512:1322
4Huracan Las Heras1564511:1322
5Fundacion Amigos1548317:1420
6Costa Brava1546512:1218
7San Martin Mendoza1546510:1418
8Juventud U.U.1537510:1016
9Deportivo Rincon1544712:1616
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca1577111:428
2Alvarado1676319:727
3Kimberley1567214:825
4Villa Mitre1557311:522
5Germinal154657:1218
6Sol de Mayo1545612:1517
7Guillermo Brown1535711:2014
8Santamarina152769:1513
9Circulo Deportivo152677:1512