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A. Asteras vs PAOK Alexandreia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Greece Greece

Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021
Sun, Jan 31, 2021
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A. Asteras host PAOK Alexandreia in the Gamma Ethniki - Group 2 2020/2021. This has A. Asteras written all over it on paper. Recent numbers: A. Asteras at 1.03 goals for, 1.39 against; PAOK Alexandreia at 0.79 for, 3.21 against. Past meetings favor A. Asteras slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 31, 2021, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.63) point toward A. Asteras. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
A. Asteras
15%
Draws
26%
PAOK Alexandreia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: A. Asteras

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to A. Asteras lately — more wins on the board than PAOK Alexandreia.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on A. Asteras taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
A. Asteras Clean Sheet 14%
PAOK Alexandreia Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Asteras PAOK Alexandreia
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 9 1
Draws 9 1
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.03 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.39 3.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2021 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
A. Asteras vs PAOK Alexandreia
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Gamma Ethniki - Group 2
PAOK Alexandreia vs A. Asteras
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Asteras 84 / 100
PAOK Alexandreia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Asteras PAOK Alexandreia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick A. Asteras Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

PAOK Alexandreia has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

A. Asteras scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: A. Asteras remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

A. Asteras VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Asteras

(Home)
30 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 2
Panthrakikos
23 Apr
A. Asteras
2 : 0
M. Alexandros Orfaniou
19 Apr
Chrisoupolis
4 : 1
A. Asteras
08 Apr
A. Asteras
0 : 3
Doxa Dramas
02 Apr
Aris Avatou
0 : 1
A. Asteras
Page 1 of 7

PAOK Alexandreia

(Away)
06 Jun
PAOK Alexandreia
1 : 2
Nea Kallikrateia
30 May
Aetos Varvaras
6 : 3
PAOK Alexandreia
26 May
PAOK Alexandreia
3 : 2
Ethnikos Giannitsa
23 May
Makedonikos Neapolis
5 : 1
PAOK Alexandreia
16 May
PAOK Alexandreia
1 : 6
Anagennisi Plagia
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poseidonas Michanionas 14 12 2 0 27:6 38
2 Keravnos Anchelochori 14 8 2 4 23:15 26
3 Thermaikos FC 14 8 1 5 24:18 25
4 A. Asteras 14 8 1 5 23:21 25
5 Makedonikos Neapolis 14 6 6 2 27:10 24
6 Anagennisi Plagia 14 6 4 4 20:12 22
7 AS Giannitsa 14 7 1 6 23:15 22
8 M. Alexandros Trikala 14 6 3 5 20:18 21
9 Edessaikos 14 6 3 5 16:19 21
10 Niki Agkathia 14 6 2 6 15:16 20
11 Nea Kallikrateia 14 4 3 7 15:20 15
12 Aetos Varvaras 14 4 2 8 21:27 14
13 Ethnikos Giannitsa 14 3 2 9 17:26 11
14 PAO Koufalion 14 1 5 8 8:22 8
15 PAOK Alexandreia 14 1 1 12 11:45 4
Promotion - Gamma Ethniki - Group 1 2020/2021 (Promotion - Play Offs)