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Stadium Background

A. Italiano vs Cobresal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida, Santiago de Chile
A. Italiano Logo

A. Italiano

2 - 1
FT
Cobresal Logo

Cobresal

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Brea J.
Assist: Yanis C.
45' Event
Fuentes M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Ortiz M. In: Loyola F.
Out: Ortiz M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Primera game between A. Italiano and Cobresal finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward A. Italiano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
A. Italiano
20%
Draws
40%
Cobresal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • A. Italiano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on A. Italiano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • A. Italiano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
A. Italiano Clean Sheet 15%
Cobresal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric A. Italiano Cobresal
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.24 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Cobresal
2:1
Mar 4, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Cobresal vs A. Italiano
1:2
Oct 31, 2025 Liga de Primera
A. Italiano vs Cobresal
1:2
May 17, 2025 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs A. Italiano
0:1
Sep 25, 2024 Liga de Primera
Cobresal vs A. Italiano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

A. Italiano Compare

Top Goalscorer Coelho D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Cobresal Compare

Top Goalscorer Brea J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

A. Italiano 35 / 100
Cobresal 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
A. Italiano Cobresal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cobresal has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

A. Italiano's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: A. Italiano stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

A. Italiano VS Cobresal
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

A. Italiano

(Home)
25 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 0
A. Italiano
22 Sept
A. Italiano
0 : 0
Colo Colo
13 Sept
A. Italiano
1 : 0
O Higgins
05 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
30 Aug
Colo Colo
5 : 1
A. Italiano
Page 1 of 6

Cobresal

(Away)
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
07 Sept
Limache
3 : 0
Cobresal
28 Aug
Cobresal
2 : 0
Palestino
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
16 Aug
Cobresal
0 : 2
D. Concepcion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 23 17 3 3 48:22 54
2 U. Catolica 23 13 3 7 50:33 42
3 U. De Chile 23 12 6 5 35:19 42
4 Everton 23 10 6 7 37:25 36
5 Palestino 23 11 3 9 36:33 36
6 Limache 23 10 3 10 43:35 33
7 Nublense 23 8 8 7 28:31 32
8 D. Concepcion 23 9 4 10 25:26 31
9 Huachipato 23 9 4 10 32:39 31
10 La Serena 23 7 9 7 34:38 30
11 Coquimbo 23 8 5 10 31:32 29
12 A. Italiano 23 7 7 9 26:31 28
13 O Higgins 23 8 3 12 28:36 27
14 Cobresal 23 7 3 13 34:44 24
15 U. De Concepcion 23 6 4 13 17:39 22
16 Union La Calera 23 4 5 14 19:40 17
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)